Demographics: 56% White, 24% Hispanic, 7% Black, 10% Asian, 4% Native American
2020 President: D + 6.4
2012/2016 Cook PVI: R + 3.9
Composite: D + 2.8
2020 Senate: D + 7.8
2018 Senate: D + 8
2018 Attorney General: R + 0.2
2018 Governor: R + 8.5
2018 Senate: R + 15.2
2016 President: R + 0.4
2016/2020 Cook PVI: Even
The main question here is 2022. I think Greg Stanton could probably hold the line here, but if he runs elsewhere due to a more optimal district somewhere else on the map (unlikely but possible) it is probably a narrow GOP pickup. 2024 and beyond I'd expect this seat to be fairly solidly blue, if occasionally swingy.
Demographics: 49% White, 28% Hispanic, 13% Black, 9% Asian
Composite: D +3.2
2020: Biden +7.5
Sen 2020: Hegar +0.8
Gov 2018: Abbott +4.4
Sen 2018: Beto +8.3
2016: Trump +0.1
PVI: EVEN (D+0.32)
