How long will the 81 million record stand?
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  How long will the 81 million record stand?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: When will Biden's record of 81.3 million votes be surpassed and a candidate receive a higher number of votes nationally?
#1
2024 election		  
#2
2028 election		  
#3
2032 election		  
#4
2036 election or later		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 54

Author Topic: How long will the 81 million record stand?  (Read 1818 times)
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« on: July 12, 2022, 10:48:09 AM »
What do you think, when will a presidential candidate break Biden's 2020 record of over 81 million raw votes? Before, Obama's 69 million record from 2008 was neither broken in 2012 nor in 2016.

I believe it will be 2028 or 2032. Voted 2028 for now. I'm relatively certain neither candidate in 2024 will get >80 million votes, regardless of the nominees. Perhaps the winner slightly exceeds Trump's 74 million that year.
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Agonized-Statism
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« Reply #1 on: July 12, 2022, 08:05:56 PM »
If turnout drops and a Republican wins in 2024, Democrats probably marshal their voters in 2028 or 2032 in a big generational turnover election.
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sting in the rafters
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« Reply #2 on: July 12, 2022, 09:04:05 PM »
Will be broken in '24 by the winner if Trump is on the ballot.
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #3 on: July 13, 2022, 11:34:49 AM »
50% chance of being broken in 2024.
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dw93
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« Reply #4 on: July 13, 2022, 06:53:33 PM »
Sometime between 2028 and 2040, assuming we still have free and fair elections.
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Senator-elect Spark
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« Reply #5 on: July 13, 2022, 09:31:15 PM »
Probably 2028, when many more people will be eligible to vote.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #6 on: July 14, 2022, 10:58:25 AM »
It might not be for a while.  In terms of new voters coming of age, we will soon hit the late 2000's crash in birthrates.  Also, several states had one-time expansions of VBM in 2020, something that is unlikely to be repeated anytime soon without a national emergency.  2020 was 69% absentee/early voting vs. 40% in 2016.  I'll guess 2032. 
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MarkD
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« Reply #7 on: July 21, 2022, 07:49:28 AM »
Quote from: PPT Spark on July 13, 2022, 09:31:15 PM
Probably 2028, when many more people will be eligible to vote.
^^^
Basically agree with this.
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TwinGeeks99
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« Reply #8 on: July 21, 2022, 01:57:14 PM »
Given the current situation, I don't see 2024 being as nearly high turnout as 2020 because of candidate quality of the current frontrunners. However, I voted for 2028 because by then there will almost certainly be fresh, young faces in the field that the electorate may be more inclined to vote for.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #9 on: August 07, 2022, 09:43:10 AM »
It'll likely be 2024.  High turnout elections just seem to be the norm now.  Polarization helps increase turnout.
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Spectator
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« Reply #10 on: August 07, 2022, 11:52:15 AM »
2028 or 2032 by a Democrat.

I think Trump or DeSantis will narrowly win in 2024 and the next open seat race will be a big D victory, whether that’s 2028 or 2032, including the first time we see a blue Texas.
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Senator-elect Spark
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« Reply #11 on: August 07, 2022, 10:43:42 PM »
By 2028.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #12 on: August 13, 2022, 03:40:14 AM »
More people voting... 82 million probably loses.
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