1972: Nixon elected by 9.7% nationally over Shirley Chisholm
1976-84: No change
1988: Gore narrowly defeated by Bush
1992-96: Perot wins over Gore, Bush, and then Elizabeth Dole, Harkin
19962000-04: McCain wins over Bill Bradley, Wesley Clark - same maps as IOTL
2008: Nader defeats Gravel, Rudy Giuliani
2012: Nader* defeats Vermin Supreme (D), Ron Paul
2016: Sanders narrowly defeats Trump - Clinton 2016 map + MI, WI, PA
2020: Trump narrowly defeats Sanders - Trump 2016 map - MI, NE-02
*runs in 2012 ITTL
As a bonus, I will do 2024 (as of today ITTL):
2024 Polling - General ElectionPres. Donald Trump 47%Fmr. Pres. Bernie Sanders 46%Pres. Donald Trump 48%Generic Democrat 44%2024 Polling - D PrimaryFmr. Pres. Sanders Independent 37% (Expressed Interest in Running)Sen. Sherrod Brown 10%
(Won't run if Sanders runs)Rep. Ro Khanna 7%
(Won't run if Sanders runs)Gov. Roy Cooper 5%
(Expressed Interest in Running)Fmr. VP Tulsi Gabbard 4%
(Won't run if Sanders runs)Sen. Joe Manchin 4%
(Potential candidate)Gov. Jared Polis 3%
(Potential candidate)Gov. Andy Beshear 2%
(Expressed Interest in Running)Mr. Bill Maher 2%
(Expressed Interest in Running)Ms. Marianne Williamson 2%
(Potential candidate)Mr. Jimmy Dore
People's 1%
(Won't run if Sanders runs)Undecided/DK 24%
Brown is the immediate frontrunner, polling at 26%, in a Sanders-less race. Gabbard polls poorly among Democrats due to her rightward shift once out of office as VP ITTL. Gabbard, however, launches past Cooper into a close third in a Sanders-less race.