Side note: I forget who, but someone said Georgia is not a state where Dobbs is likely to hurt Republicans. I strongly disagree with that; it’ll hurt in the Atlanta suburbs/greater metro area.
I somewhat disagree here: I actually think Dobbs (if it in fact helps at all) provides more possibility for an uptick for Democrats in
rural areas.
The simple reality is that pro-choice support is higher than Democratic support in most rural (white) areas, while metro support on both fronts is closer in alignment (lots of flux in metro areas, however, because you have sizeable chunks of black voters who are not pro-choice and educated white Rs who are pro-choice).