Quinnipiac SHOCK POLL in GA: Warnock +10

[DaleCooper]

I don't trust Quinnipiac so I'm not standing by this result, but I do want to say that you should expect Democrats to dramatically outrun Biden's approval because most polls are showing Biden with 25% support in his own primary. Those are Democratic presidential primary voters, who are certainly not going to be voting for Republicans.

[DaleCooper]

Georgia polling being off by this much would be new, it's important to remember that. That's not to say it can't happen, but this poll (even though it's Quinnipiac) shouldn't be discarded the way it should if this was a Florida poll or a Rust Belt poll.

[DaleCooper]

Georgia polling being off by this much would be new, it's important to remember that. That's not to say it can't happen, but this poll (even though it's Quinnipiac) shouldn't be discarded the way it should if this was a Florida poll or a Rust Belt poll.

Even if Warnock wins, which is honestly a bit more likely than not as we speak, I really can't imagine the margin being more than 1.5 or 2 pts. Even then, the poll would be way off (for sure, people care less about polls being off margin-wise as long as they get the winner right). This margin would even be unbelieveable in a 2nd Trump midterm.

I think Raphael Warnock could win by high single digits against Walker if Trump was president right now.