Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 33,167
Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
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« on: June 29, 2022, 07:14:04 PM » |
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I'm amending my prediction from safe D to likely D. O'Dea is possibly the first candidate the GOP nominated in a Democratic state that actually resembles the state they are running in. He seems like a genuine moderate, if not pretty close to a liberal, and I would gladly have had him over Gardner back in 2014, or in any Senate seat held by a Republican at all actually. But he would still caucus with the GOP in the end should he win (unless he'd end up deciding to become an Independent and caucus with the Democrats instead for whatever reason).
So if the Bennet campaign were smart all they would likely need to do to have this race in the bag is reminding the electorate that O'Dea gives McConnell a number in the Senate and makes it all the likelier that he becomes Majority Leader again. Of course, in reality, if Democrats lose here they already lost in the big four and New Hampshire, so McConnell would be Majority Leader anyway.
I can't say I'm all that worried about this race overall though. I expect a high single digit Bennet win. Probably well below Polis' victory, but still an easy enough win under the circumstances.
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