WA-SEN (Tarrance Group/Smiley internal): Murray +5 (user search)
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  WA-SEN (Tarrance Group/Smiley internal): Murray +5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: WA-SEN (Tarrance Group/Smiley internal): Murray +5  (Read 1159 times)
Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
The Pieman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,313
Australia


« on: June 30, 2022, 12:48:57 AM »

anyone mentioning "pre-Dobbs" or "post-Dobbs" should not be taken seriously
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Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
The Pieman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,313
Australia


« Reply #1 on: June 30, 2022, 01:51:06 AM »

anyone mentioning "pre-Dobbs" or "post-Dobbs" should not be taken seriously
I agree it won't massively change the landscape, but surely it could have some impact to the Ds favor, no?
How can you justify such a complete no-exceptions rule on something with great potential to shape the political narrative? Especially as those who might use those terms might have some keen insights on other issues, at the very least?
I'm not saying it won't have an impact, I'm saying dividing the entire election into two eras of "pre-Dobbs" and "post-Dobbs" is overestimating the impact it'll make.
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Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
The Pieman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,313
Australia


« Reply #2 on: June 30, 2022, 05:35:15 PM »

anyone mentioning "pre-Dobbs" or "post-Dobbs" should not be taken seriously

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nebraska%27s_1st_congressional_district

Seriously, I feel like we've just memory holed that special after two days, when two days after Flores won everyone was changing their November ratings for TX-34 to Tilt R. It's four months to election day, so I doubt it was just a random fluke. Is it really so inconceivable that Dobbs improved the environment for Democrats? If so, what explains that performance?
If a rep resigns due to scandal, that party usually dramatically underperforms in the ensuing special election.
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