PPP - NM Gov - Grisham +3 (user search)
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  PPP - NM Gov - Grisham +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP - NM Gov - Grisham +3  (Read 875 times)
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,891
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


« on: June 20, 2022, 02:24:38 PM »

Meh, I have a feeling this could be a sleeper race for a potential upset. Still think Grisham is favored, though this is definitely race to watch. Which is kind of embarrassing, considering the fact she won in 018 by a landslide and Biden also easily carried the state.
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President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,891
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


« Reply #1 on: June 20, 2022, 02:29:50 PM »

A +3 from PPP and a +1 from Ronchetti suggests a true tossup. Interesting that the polls in NM are what you expect from the environment/Biden approval but not true in other states. Ronchetti is a good candidate but it's not like Grisham is a poisoned incumbent. 1 to 1 odds I'd take Ronchetti.

Can this just be attributed to the environment? Governor's races are more nationalized than they should be, but still not comparable to federal offices. I mean, Polis looks pretty safe despite Biden's approvals in the state just medicore.
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