TX-Gov: Quinnipiac: Abbott leads by five

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ha Beto can win after all👍👍👍👍😊😊😊

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

TX won't be called at poll closing it's VBM and they already said Steve Konraki said it's gonna be the same as 2020, that it may take hrs or days to count VBM, the Red Mirage as the insurrection commission, no the TX Gov race won't be called the reason why we are seeing quick counts these are primary polls not GE which will be closer

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I don't think TX, even in a "red" year is an instant poll close call any longer. The state has changed and Abbott has always been "luke warm" there. I'm thinking the final result is somewhere around where it was back in 2020, 54-42%, maybe a bit closer.  I don't know that it will be "interesting", but it won't be a win going away.

If it’s 54-42 it will be called at poll closing time as much of the vote will have already been counted by poll closing time

Lol Steve Konraki already said if it's close in VBM it can be hrs or days to finish counting ballots didn't you Rs learn your lesson last time when Trump thought he won MI, WI and PA and it took awhile to count votes

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Beto is doing about the same as Hegar, HEGAR lost by 5 pts and Crist is tied with DeSantis these are upset picks only but don't underestimate the Blk and Brown vote either

It's VBM not same day and just like the polls they're unpredictable

Let's all remember that Crist and Beto are supposed to be blown out by 9/12 pts that overperformed

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Q continues to dump garbage polls?

Safe R. Might be correct about the 43% though.

HEGAR lost by 5 pts in 2020 so Beto is doing the same as Hegar it's not garbage when you disagree with them it's garbage with 33% Approvals

Trump didn't win by 9/12 in FL and TX he only won TX by 5 and FL by 3 but DeSantis isn't winning by 9/12 definitely it's gonna be within 3

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Q continues to dump garbage polls?

Safe R. Might be correct about the 43% though.

HEGAR lost by 5 pts in 2020 so Beto is doing the same as Hegar it's not garbage when you disagree with them it's garbage with 33% Approvals

Trump didn't win by 9/12 in FL and TX he only won TX by 5 and FL by 3 but DeSantis isn't winning by 9/12 definitely it's gonna be within 3

She lost by 9.6 pts; 53.5-43.9: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_Senate_election_in_Texas

2022 also won't be as D-friendly as 2020.

q

In 2018 we didn't win 80M and we won OH, WVA, Sen every election is different all the polls are showing Biden at 39% but Approvals can lie , Pelosi said that on MSNBC that Approvals lie otherwise Trump at 44% wouldnt have netted S seats in 2018 and H seats in 2020, he altimately ost but he said himself he was closer than polls predicted that he was more like at 47/48 than 40, Biden is closer to 50 than 40, You Gov have Biden close to 50 than any other Pollster especially Rassy and Emerson

It's a 303 map but I can make my map anyway I want just like Rs make R nut maps that ain't happen

Biden lost TX by six not HEGAR

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Quinnipiac has a history of publishing either wildly Republican-friendly or wildly Democratic-friendly outliers. Not surprising that they would find a 'surprise' result like this.

Lol Biden lost FL by only 3 that's why Crist is tied with DeSantis and may have a small lead 51/49 and Biden lost TX bye six it's not far off from 2020

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Beto is gonna win we didn't win 80M votes in 2018 and we won OH and WVA Sen and Hogan and SUNUNU won, 8 pt GCB in 2018 don't matter because we're not gonna win 41H seats so Rs keep comparing an 8 pt margin and proof we can't win red states is just not true and in 2012 we won by 4 and won OH, FL, MT, WVA and MO Senate races

It's hypocritical that Rs can win blue states but we can't win red states, Biden was on the ballot in 2008/12 and we won IN and NC