Who writes the decision in the last two cases, WV v EPA and Biden v TX?
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  Who writes the decision in the last two cases, WV v EPA and Biden v TX?
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Author Topic: Who writes the decision in the last two cases, WV v EPA and Biden v TX?  (Read 1030 times)
I知 not Stu
ERM64man
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« on: June 15, 2022, 09:52:12 AM »
« edited: June 29, 2022, 01:59:27 PM by Phlorida Man »

Guess who writes each one? I can.

Carson v Makin: probably Alito, possibly Roberts or Thomas
NY State Rifle & Pistol vs Bruen: Definitely Thomas
West Virginia v EPA: Definitely Gorsuch
Kennedy v Bremerton School District: Probably Alito, possibly Thomas
Dobbs v Jackson: probably Alito, possibly Barrett or Roberts if the old opinion gets replaced
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #1 on: June 17, 2022, 12:02:22 AM »

Dobbs vs Jackson: Alito, with a seperate concurring opinion by Roberts
NY State Rifle and Pistol v Bruen: Roberts
West Virginia v. EPA: Kavanaugh, with a separate concurring opinion by Thomas
Kennedy v Bremerton School District: Alito
Carson v Makin: Breyer with separate dissents from Sotomayor/Kagan and Alito/Coney Barret. Thomas partially dissents and partially concurs.
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I知 not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #2 on: June 19, 2022, 01:18:07 PM »

Dobbs vs Jackson: Alito, with a seperate concurring opinion by Roberts
NY State Rifle and Pistol v Bruen: Roberts
West Virginia v. EPA: Kavanaugh, with a separate concurring opinion by Thomas
Kennedy v Bremerton School District: Alito
Carson v Makin: Breyer with separate dissents from Sotomayor/Kagan and Alito/Coney Barret. Thomas partially dissents and partially concurs.
No way Roberts writes a 2A case. Thomas and Barrett haven't written anything from that sitting. The most junior usually don't write blockbusters.
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I知 not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #3 on: June 21, 2022, 11:20:32 AM »

Roberts wrote Carson v Makin.

Kennedy v Bremerton: probably Alito, but possibly Roberts
NYS Rifle & Pistol v Bruen: Thomas
Dobbs v Jackson: probably Alito, maybe Roberts
WV v EPA: Gorsuch, which will overturn MA v EPA
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Nathan
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« Reply #4 on: June 23, 2022, 10:11:16 PM »

Thomas indeed got the gun case. Sad!
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I知 not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #5 on: June 23, 2022, 11:06:40 PM »

Becerra v Empire Health: Roberts
Dobbs v Jackson: Probably Alito, but likely Roberts if Alito lost majority
Concepcion v United States: Kavanaugh
Ruan v United States: Breyer
West Virginia v EPA: Gorsuch, he's no stranger to two decisions in one sitting, Roberts if not Gorsuch
Kennedy v Bremerton: Alito
Oklahoma v Castro-Huerta: Kavanaugh, but maybe Gorsuch if liberals are in majority
Biden v Texas: Alito, but maybe Roberts
Torres v Texas Dept. of Safety: Kavanaugh or Breyer
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shua
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« Reply #6 on: June 23, 2022, 11:23:40 PM »

Becerra v Empire Health: Roberts
Dobbs v Jackson: Probably Alito, but likely Roberts if Alito lost majority
Concepcion v United States: Kavanaugh
Ruan v United States: Breyer
West Virginia v EPA: Gorsuch, he's no stranger to two decisions in one sitting, Roberts if not Gorsuch
Kennedy v Bremerton: Alito
Oklahoma v Castro-Huerta: Kavanaugh, but maybe Gorsuch if liberals are in majority
Biden v Texas: Alito, but maybe Roberts
Torres v Texas Dept. of Safety: Kavanaugh or Breyer


Are all these coming out tomorrow?
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Nathan
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« Reply #7 on: June 23, 2022, 11:56:03 PM »
« Edited: June 24, 2022, 12:09:46 AM by Supporter and promoter of anti-white racism »

Becerra v Empire Health: Roberts
Dobbs v Jackson: Probably Alito, but likely Roberts if Alito lost majority
Concepcion v United States: Kavanaugh
Ruan v United States: Breyer
West Virginia v EPA: Gorsuch, he's no stranger to two decisions in one sitting, Roberts if not Gorsuch
Kennedy v Bremerton: Alito
Oklahoma v Castro-Huerta: Kavanaugh, but maybe Gorsuch if liberals are in majority
Biden v Texas: Alito, but maybe Roberts
Torres v Texas Dept. of Safety: Kavanaugh or Breyer


Are all these coming out tomorrow?

Tomorrow is the only future opinion issuance day currently scheduled, yeah. I guess we'll see if that changes.
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Donerail
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« Reply #8 on: June 24, 2022, 06:29:16 AM »
« Edited: June 24, 2022, 08:40:12 AM by Donerail »


Tomorrow is the only future opinion issuance day currently scheduled, yeah. I guess we'll see if that changes.

The Court historically sends out a press release on the second-to-last decision day to inform the media that the next decision day will mark the end of the term; they haven't done that yet, so we know there will be at least one opinion day next week. Would not expect more than two or three opinions today, with more next week (so they can Friday-news-dump the Dobbs opinion right before a three-day weekend).

Anyway, predictions for the cases I care about:
Castro-Huerta: Gorsuch
Dobbs: Alito
W. Va.: Roberts
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I知 not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #9 on: June 24, 2022, 09:13:25 AM »

Dobbs v Jackson is 5-1-3 by Alito as I predicted. I knew Roberts was going to be in the minority.
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I知 not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #10 on: June 27, 2022, 10:13:13 AM »
« Edited: June 27, 2022, 10:57:36 AM by Phlorida Man »

Gorsuch probably doesn't write Oklahoma v Castro-Huerta because he wrote Kennedy v. Bremerton School District. It will probably be be written by Kavanaugh. Gorsuch probably writes the dissent. The Remain in Mexico case, Biden v Texas, will probably be a second opinion by Alito (6-3 in favor of Texas or Roberts dissents from 5-4 decision in favor of Texas). There痴 a slight chance Texas loses in a per curiam decision dismissing the case.
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politicallefty
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« Reply #11 on: June 29, 2022, 10:05:31 AM »

I didn't see this topic before, but only two decisions left and they will be released tomorrow morning. It looks like Roberts probably has WV v. EPA. It could be Alito, but I doubt it, though that would be extraordinarily bad if it happened. Sotomayor has 7 cases for the term. She's done. On the other hand, if there's hope for the world, it could be Kagan. I'd probably bet money on Roberts though. He hasn't had anything for either February or March and the latter is done.

Considering Kavanaugh only has 5 cases for the term, it looks like he probably has Biden v Texas (unless he had one or two of the per curiam decisions). Yikes.
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I知 not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #12 on: June 29, 2022, 12:48:11 PM »
« Edited: June 29, 2022, 01:59:11 PM by Phlorida Man »

Kavanaugh seems too junior to write a blockbuster immigration decision involving the president.
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I知 not Stu
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« Reply #13 on: June 30, 2022, 09:02:38 AM »
« Edited: June 30, 2022, 09:06:14 AM by Phlorida Man »

Roberts has WV v EPA, which limits but doesn't overrule MA v EPA. Roberts also has Biden v TX, unless it's per curiam.
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