New Tradesports rankings

[Verily]

Edwards won South Carolina..... it proved to be inconsequential... granted more importance seems placed on it this year.

It was inconsequential because it was held the same day as 6 other primaries, of which Kerry won 5!

And because Kerry still came in second. It's entirely possible for Romney to win the first three contests and then come in fourth in South Carolina. I don't think he can win any of the Deep South primaries no matter how hard he campaigns.

[Mr. Morden]

Edwards won South Carolina..... it proved to be inconsequential... granted more importance seems placed on it this year.

It was inconsequential because it was held the same day as 6 other primaries, of which Kerry won 5!

And because Kerry still came in second. It's entirely possible for Romney to win the first three contests and then come in fourth in South Carolina. I don't think he can win any of the Deep South primaries no matter how hard he campaigns.

Maybe, though of course it's still possible to win the nomination without winning in the Deep South.  If he were to win IA, NV, and NH, then lose SC, there's nothing that says he couldn't still come back and win FL, CA, IL, etc.

[Verily]

Edwards won South Carolina..... it proved to be inconsequential... granted more importance seems placed on it this year.

It was inconsequential because it was held the same day as 6 other primaries, of which Kerry won 5!

And because Kerry still came in second. It's entirely possible for Romney to win the first three contests and then come in fourth in South Carolina. I don't think he can win any of the Deep South primaries no matter how hard he campaigns.

Maybe, though of course it's still possible to win the nomination without winning in the Deep South.  If he were to win IA, NV, and NH, then lose SC, there's nothing that says he couldn't still come back and win FL, CA, IL, etc.

Of course, that's my argument, too.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Right now only 7 Democrats and 9 Republicans have a last above 0.1.

Obama down, Gore up.

Giuliani and Thompson up. Longshots down, except Hagel.

Democrats
Clinton 50.3
Obama 33.5
Edwards 7.0
Gore 4.5
Richardson 2.9
Biden 1.1
Clark 1.1
Dodd 0.1

Republicans
Giuliani 35.9
Thompson 31.4
Romney 18.5
McCain 6.0
Paul 3.1
Gingrich 3.1
Hagel 1.2
Rice 0.7
Huckabee 0.6
J. Bush 0.1
Bloomberg 0.1
Brownback 0.1
Tancredo 0.1
Cheney 0.1
Powell 0.1
T. Thompson 0.1

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I can't see the bids, so I'm excluding everyone at 0.1.

Clinton gains at Obama's expense.  Clark drops.

Giuliani drops. Romney is up a bit. Tancredo is up.

Democrats
Clinton 52.0
Obama 32.0
Edwards 7.1
Gore 4.6
Richardson 2.9
Biden 1.0
Clark 0.5


Republicans
Giuliani 33.6
Thompson 31.3
Romney 19.3
McCain 5.9
Paul 3.3
Gingrich 3.1
Hagel 1.2
Huckabee 1.0
Rice 0.5
Tancredo 0.4

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

And, inexplicably, Sununu to win bounced up to 61 today when some rube bought shares from me.  I wonder how high that one's gonna get before crashing back down to 0?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Clinton gains at Obama's expense. She's the highest in a while. Biden is massively overvalued.

Thompson gains on Giuliani, they're close to even now.



Democrats
Clinton 54.0
Obama 30.1
Edwards 7.0
Gore 5.0
Richardson 2.6
Biden 1.0
Clark 0.6


Republicans
Giuliani 33.0
Thompson 32.3
Romney 19.4
McCain 6.3
Paul 3.3
Gingrich 3.1
Hagel 1.3
Huckabee 1.1
Rice 0.6
Tancredo 0.3

[poughies]

Buy Obama only to sell later.... Buy Richardson (he's bound to go up).... Buy Huckabee....

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Clinton surges to close to a record high at Obama's expense, whom she is now leading 2-1.  Gore and Edwards are up a bit.  Someone noticed that Clark isn't running.

Thompon's flavor is getting stale, he goes down, and Giuliani and Romney gain at his expense. Paul is up to near a record high. 

Democrats
Clinton 56.5
Obama 28.2
Edwards 7.1
Gore 6.4
Richardson 3.1
Biden 0.9
Clark 0.2
Dodd 0.1


Republicans
Giuliani 35.4
Thompson 28.1
Romney 21.9
McCain 6.0
Paul 4.1
Gingrich 3.4
Huckabee 1.5
Hagel 0.7
Rice 0.6
Tancredo 0.4
Bloomberg 0.1
Brownback 0.1
J. Bush 0.1
T. Thompson 0.1

[Eraserhead]

Wow Clinton is really inflated. Too many people are buying into the hype of the almost pointless national polls.

[© tweed]

Gore '08

[Eraserhead]

Gore '08

Come on friend. Pick a candidate in the running.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Holy effin hell, $10 invested in Ron Paul two months ago would be worth $410 today.

[© tweed]

Gore '08

Come on friend. Pick a candidate in the running.

they all suck

[SPC]

Holy effin hell, $10 invested in Ron Paul two months ago would be worth $410 today.

If only the gambling Nazis hadn't banned online gambling.
I also think that will go even higher when he places second in the Straw Poll.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Holy effin hell, $10 invested in Ron Paul two months ago would be worth $410 today.

If only the gambling Nazis hadn't banned online gambling.
I also think that will go even higher when he places second in the Straw Poll.

I guess I was lucky enough to have my money grandfathered in. 

Not that I invested in Paul.  (And that $10 would be worth $450 now.)  I bought Romney.  Which was a pretty good investment too—at 22.5, he's only 3 points away from the lacklusterish Fred Thompson.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Clinton's momentum continues, she clears the 4/7ths mark. Obama and Richardson drop.

Giuliani gains more at the expense of the stale Fred Thompson. Romney's straw poll win gives him a slight boost. Paul hit a record high of 4.7 earlier today. What are these people thinking? Huckabee's straw poll showing gives him a real boost. The other Thompson, Tommy, has no bid, probably because he is expected to drop out from his poor straw poll showing.

Democrats
Clinton 58.1
Obama 26.9
Edwards 7.1
Gore 6.1
Richardson 2.4
Biden 0.9
Clark 0.1
Dodd 0.1


Republicans
Giuliani 37.4
Thompson 25.5
Romney 22.5
McCain 6.0
Paul 4.5
Gingrich 3.6
Huckabee 2.6
Hagel 0.9
Rice 0.6
Tancredo 0.4
Bloomberg 0.1
Brownback 0.2
J. Bush 0.1

[Mr. Morden]

The share price for Huckabee dropping out of the race by the end of 2007 has just dropped all the way from 67.5 to 50.0.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

The top 2 Democrats are slightly down, while the next 2 are slightly up.

Giuliani and Romney drop. Huckabee continues to gain.  Hagel and Tancredo tank.

Democrats
Clinton 57.2
Obama 26.6
Edwards 7.4
Gore 6.4
Richardson 2.3
Biden 0.9
Clark 0.1
Dodd 0.1


Republicans
Giuliani 35.7
Thompson 25.1
Romney 21.4
McCain 6.0
Paul 4.0
Gingrich 3.6
Huckabee 2.9
Rice 0.6
Hagel 0.4
Brownback 0.3
Tancredo 0.2
Bloomberg 0.1
J. Bush 0.1

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

The share price for Huckabee dropping out of the race by the end of 2007 has just dropped all the way from 67.5 to 50.0.

50.0 is waaaay too high.  His solid showing in Ames gives him reason to stay in until the Iowa caucuses, which, last I checked, is post-2007.

[Verily]

The share price for Huckabee dropping out of the race by the end of 2007 has just dropped all the way from 67.5 to 50.0.

50.0 is waaaay too high.  His solid showing in Ames gives him reason to stay in until the Iowa caucuses, which, last I checked, is post-2007.

If things continue as they are, it might not be for long.

[Mr. Morden]

Also, Huckabee has to actually capitalize on his straw poll success.  If his straw poll showing doesn't help him that much with either fundraising or his standing in the polls, he could still drop out before the caucus.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Also, Huckabee has to actually capitalize on his straw poll success.  If his straw poll showing doesn't help him that much with either fundraising or his standing in the polls, he could still drop out before the caucus.

I don't know about that.  It's very easy to make the logical jump from "I won Ames without strong fundraising" to "I can win the Iowa Caucuses without strong fundraising" when you really, really, really want to believe that you're a serious contender.

Huckabee is in it through the caucuses.

[© tweed]

Gore surpassed Edwards again (7.5 v 7.3)

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Also, it's worth mentioning that Thompson continues his long, slow slide and Romney continues his long, slow rise today, putting them even closer to parity.

Romney is up 0.3 to 23.0; Thompson slides 1.2 to 24.8.