Best and worst case electoral scenario.

[TheWildCard]

What do you think the best and worst case electoral scenario would be for your candidate?

I believe Bush's best case scenario is

Bush catches UBL
The economy is booming big time
Kerry gets hit with a major scandal
Kerry picks Gephardt or Graham as his running mate.
Bush wins the debates

if those 5 things occur and the first 3 happen close to the election the electoral map could look like this.



Bush 440
Kerry 98


Now if

If the economy hits a down turn
Bush is hit with a major scandal close to the election
If Edwards is chosen as Kerry's running mate
other things happen that hurt Bush

the map could look like this.



Bush 129
Kerry 409

[TeePee4Prez]

What do you think the best and worst case electoral scenario would be for your candidate?

I believe Bush's best case scenario is

Bush catches UBL
The economy is booming big time
Kerry gets hit with a major scandal
Kerry picks Gephardt or Graham as his running mate.
Bush wins the debates

if those 5 things occur and the first 4 happen close to the election the electoral map could look like this.



Bush 440
Kerry 98


Now if

If the economy hits a down turn
Bush is hit with a major scandal close to the election
If Edwards is chosen as Kerry's running mate
other things happen that hurt Bush

the map could look like this.



Bush 129
Kerry 409

You could even add TN and SC in that scenario.  

[ThePrezMex]

I totally agree with your maps as the best/worst case scenarios for both candidates.
I agree that TN is a strong Bush territory. Have no idea if in such a scenario (2) and with Edwards in the ticket, SC could actually be won by Kerry or not.

[© tweed]

Best Case for Bush:



Best Case for Kerry:

[W in 2004]

Kerry would win Mississippi, Kentucky, Indiana, or Tennessee before he would win Virginia.

[??????????]

Best Case for Bush:

This map will actually happen.

[© tweed]

The final map is close to my prediction map, but on my predmap, Kerry wins NJ and CA.

[7,052,770]

Kerry would win Mississippi, Kentucky, Indiana, or Tennessee before he would win Virginia.

not Mississippi

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Kerry would win Mississippi, Kentucky, Indiana, or Tennessee before he would win Virginia.

not Mississippi

If Mississippi had the same voting patterns as Alabama, Bubba would have won it in '92 and '96.
But it doesn't so he didn't.

[The Duke]

Best case Bush 443-95



Best case Kerry 413-125

[12th Doctor]

Best Case for Bush:



Best Case for Kerry:

Give Connecticut and Hawaii to Bush too and I aggree with you.

[© tweed]

Hawaii?  Na'll

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

ha ha ha, Bush has about as much chance in Hawaii as Kerry does in Alabama.

[classical liberal]

HI:Kerry::ND:Bush.
CT:Kerry::NE:Bush.