Maine Senate 2008
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Poll
Question: If Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) is challenged by Rep. Tom Allen (D-ME), who wins?
#1
Allen wins with >55%		  
#2
Allen wins with >50%		  
#3
Collins wins with >50%		  
#4
Collins with >55%		  
#5
Collins with >60%		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 27

Author Topic: Maine Senate 2008  (Read 1477 times)
InsideTheBeltway
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« on: December 07, 2006, 06:48:30 PM »
Based upon the news today that Rep. Allen might challenge Sen. Collins, who would win and with what percentage?

I vote for Collins with >55%, similar to her win in 2002.  That 73% JA rating of hers is a lot to overcome.
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Rob
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« Reply #1 on: December 07, 2006, 07:21:48 PM »
I think she would get right around 55 percent, actually. Maybe a little less or a little more, but that's her range.

I would be happy if we held her to 56-43 or so. Anything is better than the trainwreck of the Bright "campaign" this year... she almost fell below 20 percent.
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #2 on: December 08, 2006, 12:13:49 PM »
Maine has a history of dislodging popular incumbents suddenly.  Just look at 1972 and 1978.  I will make a long-shot prediction and say that Allen ends up winning by a hair-thin margin, 49%-48% or so. 
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nickshepDEM
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« Reply #3 on: December 08, 2006, 12:38:46 PM »
Quote from: InsideTheBeltway on December 07, 2006, 06:48:30 PM
Based upon the news today that Rep. Allen might challenge Sen. Collins, who would win and with what percentage?

I vote for Collins with >55%, similar to her win in 2002.  That 73% JA rating of hers is a lot to overcome.

Hey, which Beltway are you inside of 495 or 695?  Welcome to the forum, by the way.
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InsideTheBeltway
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« Reply #4 on: December 08, 2006, 12:57:39 PM »
Quote from: nickshepDEM on December 08, 2006, 12:38:46 PM
Quote from: InsideTheBeltway on December 07, 2006, 06:48:30 PM
Based upon the news today that Rep. Allen might challenge Sen. Collins, who would win and with what percentage?

I vote for Collins with >55%, similar to her win in 2002.  That 73% JA rating of hers is a lot to overcome.

Hey, which Beltway are you inside of 495 or 695?  Welcome to the forum, by the way.

Inside 495-I'm from Montgomery County but a student at UMD, about a mile inside the capital beltway.
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nickshepDEM
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« Reply #5 on: December 08, 2006, 12:59:18 PM »
Quote from: InsideTheBeltway on December 08, 2006, 12:57:39 PM
Quote from: nickshepDEM on December 08, 2006, 12:38:46 PM
Quote from: InsideTheBeltway on December 07, 2006, 06:48:30 PM
Based upon the news today that Rep. Allen might challenge Sen. Collins, who would win and with what percentage?

I vote for Collins with >55%, similar to her win in 2002.  That 73% JA rating of hers is a lot to overcome.

Hey, which Beltway are you inside of 495 or 695?  Welcome to the forum, by the way.

Inside 495-I'm from Montgomery County but a student at UMD, about a mile inside the capital beltway.

A Montgomery County Republican?  You do exist!

No elected Republicans left though.
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Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon
htmldon
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« Reply #6 on: December 08, 2006, 02:02:26 PM »
Quote from: nickshepDEM on December 08, 2006, 12:59:18 PM
A Montgomery County Republican?  You do exist!

No elected Republicans left though.

...after ya'll took out Connie Morella  *cries*!!!!!
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InsideTheBeltway
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« Reply #7 on: December 08, 2006, 02:07:29 PM »
Quote from: HumanRights® (htmldon) on December 08, 2006, 02:02:26 PM
Quote from: nickshepDEM on December 08, 2006, 12:59:18 PM
A Montgomery County Republican?  You do exist!

No elected Republicans left though.

...after ya'll took out Connie Morella  *cries*!!!!!

Montgomery County is pretty hopless for any Republican, Connie was as liberal a Republican as you can find and 2002 was as good a Republican year as there's been in a while.

Basically, you see far more signs and ads around primary time than you do around the general.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #8 on: December 08, 2006, 05:37:09 PM »
« Edited: December 08, 2006, 05:43:58 PM by Eraserhead »
Collins with over 55% unless she calls someone a macaca or goes into a Michael Richards style frenzy at a campaign rally (which is hopefully very possible).
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: December 08, 2006, 05:40:31 PM »
Quote from: Rob on December 07, 2006, 07:21:48 PM
I think she would get right around 55 percent, actually. Maybe a little less or a little more, but that's her range.

I would be happy if we held her to 56-43 or so. Anything is better than the trainwreck of the Bright "campaign" this year... she almost fell below 20 percent.

Bright lost the Democratic vote by 20%. That is sad. She was really more like a Green Party candidate.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #10 on: December 08, 2006, 08:10:39 PM »
collins wins by a wide margin.
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Padfoot
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« Reply #11 on: December 09, 2006, 05:22:54 AM »
How big an issue do you think her 1996 pledge to only serve two terms will be?  Does a high job approval trump a promise to quit after 12 years?
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Gabu
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« Reply #12 on: December 09, 2006, 05:26:36 AM »
Quote from: padfoot714 on December 09, 2006, 05:22:54 AM
How big an issue do you think her 1996 pledge to only serve two terms will be?

It hasn't stopped countless other politicians from winning terms beyond when they said they'd stop.
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #13 on: December 09, 2006, 08:36:06 AM »
Quote from: Gabu on December 09, 2006, 05:26:36 AM
Quote from: padfoot714 on December 09, 2006, 05:22:54 AM
How big an issue do you think her 1996 pledge to only serve two terms will be?

It hasn't stopped countless other politicians from winning terms beyond when they said they'd stop.

O well, Sam Brownback doesn't have to worry about his promise b/c he'll be president before his promise comes due
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Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon
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« Reply #14 on: December 09, 2006, 11:49:40 AM »
Quote from: DownWithTheLeft on December 09, 2006, 08:36:06 AM
Quote from: Gabu on December 09, 2006, 05:26:36 AM
Quote from: padfoot714 on December 09, 2006, 05:22:54 AM
How big an issue do you think her 1996 pledge to only serve two terms will be?

It hasn't stopped countless other politicians from winning terms beyond when they said they'd stop.

O well, Sam Brownback doesn't have to worry about his promise b/c he'll be president before his promise comes due

Really?  I didn't know he made a promise to be in the Senate until the year 3928.
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DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
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« Reply #15 on: December 09, 2006, 12:04:26 PM »
Too bad we couldn't replace this idiot Collins w/a true conservative, she'll have to do unless a conservative Dem comes along
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