NewYorkExpress
Atlas Star
Posts: 24,823
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« Reply #1 on: June 11, 2022, 09:55:11 PM » |
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Tim Kaine might not run in 2024. The fact he took himself out of contention in 2020 IRL immediately tells me he wasn't really interested in being President.
So, my guess is someone from the progressive wing runs (probably Warren, or possibly Baldwin or Brown, both of whom likely would have lost in 2018 and would be free to run without risking a Senate seat) and wins the nomination.
For the Republicans, Trump likely would have lost twice to Hillary, so I'm not sure he'd be nominated a third a time (if only because I don't think his ego would take a possible third loss). Most likely, Republicans nominate DeSantis (still wins in 2018 in our universe) or possibly Cruz (who would be seen as next in line as the runner up in 2016) or possibly the runner up in 2020 if that person didn't also run in 2016.
The winner would probably be the Republican candidate, but I wouldn't completely rule out a Democrat winning, especially if Cruz is the nominee.
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