WA 08 Schrier ahead
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Author Topic: WA 08 Schrier ahead  (Read 432 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« on: June 09, 2022, 11:00:21 AM »
https://www.scribd.com/document/577427887/Key-Findings-Survey-in-Washington-CD-8

Kim Schrier 48 inc
Dunn 42

Kim Schrier 48 inc
Jensen 42
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #1 on: June 09, 2022, 11:52:22 AM »
Wait, this is an R internal? That's hilarious.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: June 09, 2022, 11:56:03 AM »
« Edited: June 09, 2022, 11:59:39 AM by Beto O'Rourke is clueless »
Schrier is totally overperforming Biden when the generic ballot is R+5-9 and Biden's approvals are in the mid-30's.
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GALeftist
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« Reply #3 on: June 09, 2022, 12:24:58 PM »
Quote from: Beto O'Rourke is clueless on June 09, 2022, 11:56:03 AM
Schrier is totally overperforming Biden when the generic ballot is R+5-9 and Biden's approvals are in the mid-30's.

Why not just say the generic ballot is R+100 as long as we're just making stuff up
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Xing
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« Reply #4 on: June 09, 2022, 12:29:03 PM »
Schrier's not done for, and while I'm predicting that she'll lose, I don't think it'll be by that much.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: June 09, 2022, 12:43:15 PM »
Quote from: GALeftist on June 09, 2022, 12:24:58 PM
Quote from: Beto O'Rourke is clueless on June 09, 2022, 11:56:03 AM
Schrier is totally overperforming Biden when the generic ballot is R+5-9 and Biden's approvals are in the mid-30's.

Why not just say the generic ballot is R+100 as long as we're just making stuff up
Making stuff up? lol. Even left-leaning pollsters have Republicans ahead on the generic ballot. But go and stick your head in the sand.
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Meatball Ron
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« Reply #6 on: June 09, 2022, 12:52:26 PM »
Yeah this is one race that I'm more optimistic about. I give Schrier like a 60-70% chance of pulling it out.
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Meatball Ron
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« Reply #7 on: June 09, 2022, 12:53:48 PM »
Quote from: Beto O'Rourke is clueless on June 09, 2022, 12:43:15 PM
Quote from: GALeftist on June 09, 2022, 12:24:58 PM
Quote from: Beto O'Rourke is clueless on June 09, 2022, 11:56:03 AM
Schrier is totally overperforming Biden when the generic ballot is R+5-9 and Biden's approvals are in the mid-30's.

Why not just say the generic ballot is R+100 as long as we're just making stuff up
Making stuff up? lol. Even left-leaning pollsters have Republicans ahead on the generic ballot. But go and stick your head in the sand.

Ahead =/= ahead by 5-9, lmao. The average is like R+2
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GALeftist
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« Reply #8 on: June 09, 2022, 01:05:59 PM »
Quote from: Fetterman = George Zimmerman on June 09, 2022, 12:53:48 PM
Quote from: Beto O'Rourke is clueless on June 09, 2022, 12:43:15 PM
Quote from: GALeftist on June 09, 2022, 12:24:58 PM
Quote from: Beto O'Rourke is clueless on June 09, 2022, 11:56:03 AM
Schrier is totally overperforming Biden when the generic ballot is R+5-9 and Biden's approvals are in the mid-30's.

Why not just say the generic ballot is R+100 as long as we're just making stuff up
Making stuff up? lol. Even left-leaning pollsters have Republicans ahead on the generic ballot. But go and stick your head in the sand.

Ahead =/= ahead by 5-9, lmao. The average is like R+2

You have to unskew the polls in such a way that they confirm my priors you see
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Gracile
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: June 09, 2022, 01:07:08 PM »
I can see Schrier getting 48%.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #10 on: June 09, 2022, 02:02:46 PM »
Alot of users already think this is an R Election because of inflation, no it's no need to keep arguing about Rs are Favs in the H and D's in the S if it's a 303 map but OH, NC, LA and WI Sen are backup to PA AZ, GA, NV and NH, and GA and LA are Runoffs and Crist is leading in FL

But, the extra Senate seats outside the 303 are wave insurance for the H and it's possible that D's can net the TRIFECTA

The Election isn't until Nov anyways
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