NC-SEN: East Carolina University: Budd + 8

[2016]

North Carolina Senate GE


North Carolina GCB


President Biden North Carolina Job Approval


Biden @ 35 %, LOL

https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/ecu-poll-ted-budd-leads-cheri-beasley-by-eight-points-among-registered-voters-in-north-carolina-republicans-lead-generic-congressional-vote-by-three-in-nc-biden-s-approval-rating-at-just-thirty-five-percent-in-the-tar-heel-state

This just among Registered Voters. Imagine how it looks like with "Likely Voters"

[SnowLabrador]

This is a lot more believable than Budd +1. Safe R.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 303 map anyways the pollsters are playing with the polls like last time showing 1 pt for Budd lol.

Rs sweeping everything is just as laughable as D's sweep

[2016]

It's a 303 map anyways the pollsters are playing with the polls like last time showing 1 pt for Budd lol.

Rs sweeping everything is just as laughable as D's sweep

LOL, what are you talking about? No one is talking about a Sweep BUT North Carolina, Ohio are Republican States especially in a D-Midterm.

You are not going to win Statewide in NC if the Leader of the Democratic Party, President Biden has a 35 % Approval Rating in the State. Not gonna happen. Get used to it.

[2016]

This is a lot more believable than Budd +1. Safe R.

Yes, I agree.

Biden 35 % in NC, 33 % in MO. These are just DREADFUL Numbers.

We haven't seen Bidens JA in Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. This is a Registered Voter Survey in NC. You can add 3-5 Points to Budds Total here so more likely he is leading by Double Digits.

Democrats made the wrong choice in Beasley. Being a liberal, progressive former State Supreme Court Justice doesn't do you anything good. They needed someone like Roy Cooper, the late Senator Kay Hagan or SoS Elaine Marshall who holds that Office for a Decade now.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Elaine Marshall lost badly to Burr in 2016, I doubt she runs, but I remember all the D pollsters that posted last yr I want Beasley not Jeff Jackson they all disappeared

[Roll Roons]

Not terribly surprised - the margin will probably end up somewhere around here. This was not going to be the right year for Democrats to break their losing streak in NC Senate races, though they probably would have done it if Trump won reelection.

[Vern]

I feel like this race is be more like Budd +3 or 4.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump won NC in 2016 51/47 anyways

[wbrocks67]

I feel like this race is be more like Budd +3 or 4.

I mean you'd think so based on the GCB. Unsure why Beasley is underperforming the 44% of the generic Dem.

[Vern]

I feel like this race is be more like Budd +3 or 4.

I mean you'd think so based on the GCB. Unsure why Beasley is underperforming the 44% of the generic Dem.

Most people don’t know who she is.

[Person Man]

This could be a lot like Texas where the top of the Democratic ticket this is by 4 or 5 points, maybe even eight or nine points in an election were the generic ballot is won by 3-5 points. This could indicate that these states are in striking distance or will be in striking distance once the national environment improves for Democrats. This is notwithstanding the fact that their recovery might be on the backs of those who aren’t yet expected to vote Democrat anytime soon.

[2016]

This could be a lot like Texas where the top of the Democratic ticket this is by 4 or 5 points, maybe even eight or nine points in an election were the generic ballot is won by 3-5 points. This could indicate that these states are in striking distance or will be in striking distance once the national environment improves for Democrats. This is notwithstanding the fact that their recovery might be on the backs of those who aren’t yet expected to vote Democrat anytime soon.

Wishful thinking on your behalf that they National Environment improves for D's. There is a reason Sabato and Cook have NC & OH as Likely R.

We are heading for a 2010 Blowout at the moment nonwithstanding that 65 % of Economists saying US is headed into Recession.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

A blowout and they haven't polled WI, PA and MI Biden has the same Approvals as Trump did 45/54 in Rassy tracking poll and Trump had 43/54 in his Final EDay tracking poll

Notwithstanding Mark Kelly is leading 50/33

[Sir Mohamed]

I feel like this race is be more like Budd +3 or 4.

I mean you'd think so based on the GCB. Unsure why Beasley is underperforming the 44% of the generic Dem.

Most people don’t know who she is.

Yup, she'll definitely end up getting 44% of the vote, perhaps around 46%. Will still fall short by 4-5 pts in the end. This seat would be a prime target in a 2nd Trump midterm.

A strong Lean R, or even Likely R.

[Xing]

An 8-point win for Budd is believable, but Beasley underperforming General Eric Democrat is odd.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Steve Konraki still have WI, FL and NC as Tossup, I wouldn'tsay this is the end

[Person Man]

This could be a lot like Texas where the top of the Democratic ticket this is by 4 or 5 points, maybe even eight or nine points in an election were the generic ballot is won by 3-5 points. This could indicate that these states are in striking distance or will be in striking distance once the national environment improves for Democrats. This is notwithstanding the fact that their recovery might be on the backs of those who aren’t yet expected to vote Democrat anytime soon.

Wishful thinking on your behalf that they National Environment improves for D's. There is a reason Sabato and Cook have NC & OH as Likely R.

We are heading for a 2010 Blowout at the moment nonwithstanding that 65 % of Economists saying US is headed into Recession.

I'm not talking about this election necessarily. I'm just saying that relatively underwhelming victories in moderately conservative areas are where Democrats should target the next time there is an opening unless there are other currently more conservative areas becoming competitive.

[President Johnson]

Likely Republican, unfortunately.

The gap between Beasley and GCB is probably due to name ID, and the latter is actually not this bad. Still, it's very unlikely this seat flips. My current prediction would Budd wins 51-45%.

[ElectionsGuy]

So far the pollsters showing Biden ahead in 2020 are showing Budd ahead easily. I don't even think it's worth focus this year.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

They just emailed me on Beasley, Ryan and Demings, these are wave insurance seats, we don't have to win these seats but to ensure a D H they are Targeting wave insurance seats the EC map doesn't stop at 270/284/303 it stops at 538

Be aware Gas prices are going way down so if Rs think the Election is lost for D's think again but Election Guy think this is a 2010 midterm but we had 92M voted and 10% unemployment and Approvals can lie, the Rs we're supposed to lose a landslide in 2020 when Trump was at the same Approvals as Biden 43/54 but he was impeached and Biden hasn't beware of underpolled of minority vote

[Person Man]

Likely Republican, unfortunately.

The gap between Beasley and GCB is probably due to name ID, and the latter is actually not this bad. Still, it's very unlikely this seat flips. My current prediction would Budd wins 51-45%.

It would be a "moral victory" if NC was only an R+1 state this year instead of a R+3 state.