Rate TX-28th

[President Johnson]

Lean Democratic.

I wonder whether Cisneros is going to run again in 2024?

[wesmoorenerd]

Pure tossup. Too many unknowns to make a solid prediction one way or another here.

[Real Texan Politics]

Lean Democratic.

I wonder whether Cisneros is going to run again in 2024?

Yup
https://twitter.com/jcisnerostx/status/1565467526611566600?s=21&t=Hx7Y4II4oZ...

[ProgressiveModerate]

Lean Democratic.

I wonder whether Cisneros is going to run again in 2024?

Yup
https://twitter.com/jcisnerostx/status/1565467526611566600?s=21&t=Hx7Y4II4oZ...

I feel like losing twice in a row means you've had your turn for that office and should run for something else if you still want to get involved in politics; it's just a bad look.

However, given how the Dem base is becoming more and more Bexar centric, I actually think there's a good chance she'd be able to unseat Cueller in 2024 (assuming he wins re-election in 2022).

[Schiff for Senate]

Lean Democratic.

I wonder whether Cisneros is going to run again in 2024?

Yup
https://twitter.com/jcisnerostx/status/1565467526611566600?s=21&t=Hx7Y4II4oZ...

I feel like losing twice in a row means you've had your turn for that office and should run for something else if you still want to get involved in politics; it's just a bad look.

However, given how the Dem base is becoming more and more Bexar centric, I actually think there's a good chance she'd be able to unseat Cueller in 2024 (assuming he wins re-election in 2022).

Mariannette Miller Meeks (R-IA02) ran for Congress THRICE (2008, 2010, 2014) and failed each time (all times against Rep. Dave Loebsack, D-Iowa City) before running for a fourth time in 2020 and, of course, beating Rita Hart (D) by 6 votes.

[S019]

Tossup, Cuellar wins narrowly if forced to choose.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Lean Democratic.

I wonder whether Cisneros is going to run again in 2024?

Yup
https://twitter.com/jcisnerostx/status/1565467526611566600?s=21&t=Hx7Y4II4oZ...

I feel like losing twice in a row means you've had your turn for that office and should run for something else if you still want to get involved in politics; it's just a bad look.

However, given how the Dem base is becoming more and more Bexar centric, I actually think there's a good chance she'd be able to unseat Cueller in 2024 (assuming he wins re-election in 2022).

Mariannette Miller Meeks (R-IA02) ran for Congress THRICE (2008, 2010, 2014) and failed each time (all times against Rep. Dave Loebsack, D-Iowa City) before running for a fourth time in 2020 and, of course, beating Rita Hart (D) by 6 votes.

At least for her though, a popular incumbent retired and shifts in IA-02 have been favorable to the GOP. Can't exactly say that about TX-28 but I think the Bexar portion will always keep it competative at worst for Dems.

[Schiff for Senate]

Lean Democratic.

I wonder whether Cisneros is going to run again in 2024?

Yup
https://twitter.com/jcisnerostx/status/1565467526611566600?s=21&t=Hx7Y4II4oZ...

I feel like losing twice in a row means you've had your turn for that office and should run for something else if you still want to get involved in politics; it's just a bad look.

However, given how the Dem base is becoming more and more Bexar centric, I actually think there's a good chance she'd be able to unseat Cueller in 2024 (assuming he wins re-election in 2022).

Mariannette Miller Meeks (R-IA02) ran for Congress THRICE (2008, 2010, 2014) and failed each time (all times against Rep. Dave Loebsack, D-Iowa City) before running for a fourth time in 2020 and, of course, beating Rita Hart (D) by 6 votes.

At least for her though, a popular incumbent retired and shifts in IA-02 have been favorable to the GOP. Can't exactly say that about TX-28 but I think the Bexar portion will always keep it competative at worst for Dems.

I'm baffled as to how she thought it was a good idea to run in 2008. 2010 and 2014, I get since they were red-wave Obama midterms, but 2008? Really?

[S019]

Lean Democratic.

I wonder whether Cisneros is going to run again in 2024?

Yup
https://twitter.com/jcisnerostx/status/1565467526611566600?s=21&t=Hx7Y4II4oZ...

I feel like losing twice in a row means you've had your turn for that office and should run for something else if you still want to get involved in politics; it's just a bad look.

However, given how the Dem base is becoming more and more Bexar centric, I actually think there's a good chance she'd be able to unseat Cueller in 2024 (assuming he wins re-election in 2022).

Mariannette Miller Meeks (R-IA02) ran for Congress THRICE (2008, 2010, 2014) and failed each time (all times against Rep. Dave Loebsack, D-Iowa City) before running for a fourth time in 2020 and, of course, beating Rita Hart (D) by 6 votes.

At least for her though, a popular incumbent retired and shifts in IA-02 have been favorable to the GOP. Can't exactly say that about TX-28 but I think the Bexar portion will always keep it competative at worst for Dems.

I also don't think Dems will totally collapse in Webb, the swing was less there compared to a place like Starr or Zapata.

[TwinGeeks99]

As of today I'd have it as Lean D and closer to Likely than Tossup, but part of this is due to the improving environment for Democrats.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Lean Democratic.

I wonder whether Cisneros is going to run again in 2024?

Yup
https://twitter.com/jcisnerostx/status/1565467526611566600?s=21&t=Hx7Y4II4oZ...

I feel like losing twice in a row means you've had your turn for that office and should run for something else if you still want to get involved in politics; it's just a bad look.

However, given how the Dem base is becoming more and more Bexar centric, I actually think there's a good chance she'd be able to unseat Cueller in 2024 (assuming he wins re-election in 2022).

Mariannette Miller Meeks (R-IA02) ran for Congress THRICE (2008, 2010, 2014) and failed each time (all times against Rep. Dave Loebsack, D-Iowa City) before running for a fourth time in 2020 and, of course, beating Rita Hart (D) by 6 votes.

At least for her though, a popular incumbent retired and shifts in IA-02 have been favorable to the GOP. Can't exactly say that about TX-28 but I think the Bexar portion will always keep it competative at worst for Dems.

I also don't think Dems will totally collapse in Webb, the swing was less there compared to a place like Starr or Zapata.

Ye generally shifts in rural RGV have been a lot worse for Dems than shifts in "urban" RGV. Infact, Biden still did better than Kerry in "urban" parts of the RGV but worse in rural areas.

Btw, I put urban in quotes cause tbh I don't rlly know how to describe parts of the RGV like Laredo and McAllen, they really don't seem to fall into the traditional categories of urban, suburban, exurban, or rural.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Tossup, Cuellar wins narrowly if forced to choose.

Neutral environment
Cuellar having a 50 50 chance of winning
Pick one