WV-SEN 2024: Manchin out, Justice for All

[Mr. Smith]

He still loses.

[Mr. Smith]

I do hope Justice is in, Manchin  is probably  done and he's closer to McKinley than Mooney. Probably the best we can expect get.

[Mr. Smith]

Justice says he is probably running

https://wvmetronews.com/2023/01/13/justice-probably-running-for-senate/

Justice is a scoundrel who doesn’t pay his bills. He’s literally Mr. Porter from its a wonderful life. I was going to say he’d been an awful candidate, but he has somehow conned the WV voters into liking him so idk

He's literally the best red-state Republican governor of note. [Even "moderate" Kemp]

Endorsed, even against Manchin.

[Mr. Smith]

Is it just me, or does it seem like the Senate races this cycle are starting much earlier than usual?

It's not you. Not this time.

[Mr. Smith]

Joe Manchins West Virginia Statewide Electoral History

2000 WV Secretary of State: 89 % (Did not have Republican Opponent)

2004 WV Governor: 63 %

2008 WV Governor: 69 %

2010 WV Senate Special (to fill Robert C. Byrds Term): 53 %

2012 WV Senate: 60 %

2018 WV Senate: 49 % (in a D+8 Wave Year) Manchin won by only 19,000+ Votes.

Not a favorable trend especially if its presidential year with the GOP probably winning by 25 points in the state.

Funny enough, Manchin has always performed best during presidential years.

But will it suffice this time?

[Mr. Smith]

Justice is probably the best Republican that Democrats could hope for here in a state where it’s an auto-flip no matter who the nominees are.

This is mostly just liberal cope. Justice (if he runs) is going to be a reliable vote for the national GOP's agenda, replacing a Senator who always blocked the national GOP's agenda/enabled Democratic priorities when his vote was needed and pushing the GOP one seat closer to a majority.

Whether Justice is less "outspoken" than other Republican candidates would be is completely irrelevant. It’s his vote that counts.

Re: The bolded part: Imagine actually believing this

It's not wrong, just disingenuous.

[Mr. Smith]

Endorsed.

[Mr. Smith]

You know, I'm actually pissed that he's retiring. It means he undermined Biden's agenda for nothing. I would rather see him go down fighting after being such a contrarian.

On the contrary, he undermined it specifically because he could with answering to anyone.