WV-SEN 2024: Manchin out, Justice for All

[Progressive Pessimist]

https://twitter.com/Politics1com/status/1784735406581256423

And that's why we love him.

The dude should be elected for the memes only.

I would be okay with him running for President again and having George Santos be his running mate.

[Steve from Lambeth]

https://twitter.com/Politics1com/status/1784735406581256423

And that's why we love him.

The dude should be elected for the memes only.

I would be okay with him running for President again and having George Santos be his running mate.

George Santos won five non-consecutive Presidential terms in the 14th, 15th and 16th centuries. After a heated debate with Prime Minister Samuel Taylor Coleridge at the end of the 18th century, while he was Benedict Arnold's vice-president, he lost all interest in appearing on any future tickets.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Are they even gonna poll this race anymore

[Compuzled_One]

Are they even gonna poll this race anymore

If Blankenship wins somehow, probably.

[Compuzled_One]

Alright, final predictions.

Republican:

70% Justice
26% Mooney
4% Others

Democratic:
57% Elliot
27% Shrewsbury
15% Blankenship

[WV222]

I think Shrewsbury would be an interesting perspective for WV Dems. He would be the first "working class"-centric guy in a deep red state, especially with the mesh of positions he has. Left-wing economic ideology (not just populism), pro-gun rights, sympathetic to the hardness of the transition away from coal and needing to find jobs, not a big supporter of funding Ukraine. Could he be an Ojeda-like guy (to a lesser extent), make a dent, but actually moving the WV Dems away from the national Dems in a left-wing fashion?

Either he has a legit chance of winning Tuesday, or he will crash as a social media darling of the WV left. We will find out Tuesday

[Compuzled_One]

You know, if Blankenship somehow wins and Manchin runs, Don only needs to pull 6% of the vote for Manchin to win if all those votes are from Justice, judging by that one September 2023 poll between independent Manchin and Justice. I don't think that percentage is unreasonable for Blankenship. Of course, it's likely many low-info Dems will vote Blankenship in November in this scenario, so that number could be in the 10-20% range, which is less reasonable.

[Compuzled_One]

Okay, there's a low amount of votes in the primaries, apparently. Who does that help?

[Flyersfan232]

I think Shrewsbury would be an interesting perspective for WV Dems. He would be the first "working class"-centric guy in a deep red state, especially with the mesh of positions he has. Left-wing economic ideology (not just populism), pro-gun rights, sympathetic to the hardness of the transition away from coal and needing to find jobs, not a big supporter of funding Ukraine. Could he be an Ojeda-like guy (to a lesser extent), make a dent, but actually moving the WV Dems away from the national Dems in a left-wing fashion?

Either he has a legit chance of winning Tuesday, or he will crash as a social media darling of the WV left. We will find out Tuesday

outside of being pro gun he shares the same views as most progressives

[Sir Mohamed]

Did Justice underperform in the primary? I feel like 62% isn't really that impressing.

That said, the GE is Safe R.

[Flyersfan232]

Did Justice underperform in the primary? I feel like 62% isn't really that impressing.

That said, the GE is Safe R.

nah that was in line with expectations

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/sen_joemanchin/status/1796547335767671199?s=46&t=-r8JGlJ...

[Compuzled_One]

https://twitter.com/sen_joemanchin/status/1796547335767671199?s=46&t=-r8JGlJ...

Wait, WHAT?! It's not over?!

[Proud Independent]

https://twitter.com/sen_joemanchin/status/1796547335767671199?s=46&t=-r8JGlJ...

Wait, WHAT?! It's not over?!

I'll laugh if this was just for him to reenter the senate race(already has ruled out entering the governor race all but assuring a Gov.Morrisey) as an Independent.... AND still goes on to lose to Justice immediately after poll closing.

[Compuzled_One]

https://twitter.com/sen_joemanchin/status/1796547335767671199?s=46&t=-r8JGlJ...

Wait, WHAT?! It's not over?!

I'll laugh if this was just for him to reenter the senate race as an Independent.... AND still goes on to lose to Justice immediately after poll closing.

I mean, yeah, he ain't winning at this point, especially with Elliot in the race. Even if Elliot drops out, many Dems will see it as a shady maneuver and not vote for Manchin.

[SnowLabrador]

Good riddance. Even if his replacement is Justice, I'm just glad Manchin will be gone in January.

[Proud Independent]

Good riddance. Even if his replacement is Justice, I'm just glad Manchin will be gone in January.

 As morbid as this sounds unless a soon to be Sen. Justice loses weight.... I really don't think he'll be there for long.

[Compuzled_One]

Good riddance. Even if his replacement is Justice, I'm just glad Manchin will be gone in January.

 As morbid as this sounds unless a soon to be Sen. Justice loses weight.... I really don't think he'll be there for long.

Plot twist: Elliot secretly has some crazy ass dirt on Justice that would've caused him to lose in a 1v1-Manchin's tanking Glenn on purpose so he can run in the 2026 election if Justice bites it.

Dark jokes aside, I think Justice will be okay-he's not ancient and will have Senatorial healthcare, which I assume is good. He'll likely be a one termer, though.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Does this mean he’s changing his caucus in the senate?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It doesn't matter it's 51/50 anyways Ds still would have a 1 seat majority

[Roll Roons]

Does this mean he’s changing his caucus in the senate?

He’s not.

[Dave Hedgehog]

This feels like it has been done out of spite given how close he is to the end of his Senate career. I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s sucking up to Trump for a job should the latter be back in the Oval Office next year. Given he’s nearly 77 I really don’t know why he’s not just winding it all down quietly prior to a very affluent retirement. Then again there are so many others we could ask that about…

[Spectator]

He’s gonna try and win as an independent isn’t he? Wouldn’t be surprised if he “endorses Trump” or something to try and do so. No one ever said Manchin wasn’t a good politician, so I’ll give him that.

[Compuzled_One]

He’s gonna try and win as an independent isn’t he? Wouldn’t be surprised if he “endorses Trump” or something to try and do so. No one ever said Manchin wasn’t a good politician, so I’ll give him that.

I kinda feel Manchin hoped that Blankenship would win so he could get back in, and set up the infrastructure to do so. Then Blankenship lost because Manchin didn't realize how hated he was, but the latter didn't want his time and money going to waste, so he went independent and will jump back in soon in a vain attempt to keep his job.

Or maybe he just wanted to be independent in his last few months.

[Utah Neolib]

He’s gonna try and win as an independent isn’t he? Wouldn’t be surprised if he “endorses Trump” or something to try and do so. No one ever said Manchin wasn’t a good politician, so I’ll give him that.

I kinda feel Manchin hoped that Blankenship would win so he could get back in, and set up the infrastructure to do so. Then Blankenship lost because Manchin didn't realize how hated he was, but the latter didn't want his time and money going to waste, so he went independent and will jump back in soon in a vain attempt to keep his job.

Or maybe he just wanted to be independent in his last few months.

Remember when Amash became a libertarian in 2020 before he retired?