Which will vote Democratic first: Kansas or Missouri?

[Vice President Christian Man]

Eastern Kansas in particular has trended significantly to the left over the last two decades or so and D's have a significant ceiling they could reach. I doubt it will become a swing state anytime soon but it could become competitive during a particularly strong D wave.

Missouri on the other hand I think is mostly maxed out. There's still some room around the Kansas City area and some of the Saint Louis exurbs but I think that's the only area and I anticipate that the Bootheel area still has some room to drop as some of the older, more Democratic population dies off.