Sol
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,148
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« on: March 18, 2022, 02:22:31 PM » |
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« edited: March 18, 2022, 02:33:53 PM by Sol »
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Both Boebert and Cawthorn represent districts with extremely high Democratic floors but very low ceilings. CO-03 seems like an easier lift to me to be honest but I doubt that either is going to lose, especially when both the Ski Counties and Asheville are likely to nominate a candidate with zero appeal to the kind of voters who actually would need to be flipped.
Don't know Colorado too well, but in NC-11 the ideal candidate would probably need to be 1) deeply rooted in a community outside of Asheville, 2) obviously extremely culturally Southern, 3) moderate on a lot of hot-button issues, honestly to the point of being right-wing on guns, and 4) able to play the class warfare game to some extent and tap into resentment around the rising cost of living in a lot of mountain communities. Needless to say, all of these are major disadvantages in actually winning the primary since basically all of them rub the NC-11 Democratic primary electorate wrong, and that's probably a big issue in CO-03 too.
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