Could you imagine 2024 and 2028 maps equal 2016 and 2020?
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Author Topic: Could you imagine 2024 and 2028 maps equal 2016 and 2020?  (Read 507 times)
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« on: March 14, 2022, 10:38:21 AM »
Just crossed my mind that there was never an identical map since 1820 in any election. Could see a scenario, in which Trump (most likely) wins the 2024 election by exactly flipping back the 5 states Biden managed to take back in 2020? And in 2028, after another 4 years of Trump, the Dem candidate winning back the Rust Belt trio and GA & AZ?

Tbh, I think not likely of course, but far from impossible.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #1 on: March 14, 2022, 10:58:43 AM »
I actually think the hardest Trump state for Republicans to win back in 2024 will be Michigan; it would flip after AZ/GA. 
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #2 on: March 14, 2022, 01:56:41 PM »
Quote from: DT on March 14, 2022, 10:58:43 AM
I actually think the hardest Trump state for Republicans to win back in 2024 will be Michigan; it would flip after AZ/GA. 

I also think Nevada flips before Michigan in 2024.
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Person Man
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« Reply #3 on: March 15, 2022, 07:38:08 AM »
Quote from: DT on March 14, 2022, 10:58:43 AM
I actually think the hardest Trump state for Republicans to win back in 2024 will be Michigan; it would flip after AZ/GA. 

We'll it did swing by more than the country, even if it is still 1 point, instead of 4 points more Republican.
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Xing
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« Reply #4 on: March 15, 2022, 03:33:03 PM »
It's not impossible, but it is quite unlikely, especially given NE-02. I don't think that would flip Republican unless they're doing quite a bit better nationally than they did in 2016.
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Agonized-Statism
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« Reply #5 on: March 15, 2022, 03:52:06 PM »
Not exactly with the way those states are changing. I'm not sure Wisconsin '28 would go Democrat in a race that close, for example.
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