FL-01 Listener Group: Jones +6 (MAJOR OUTLIER)
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Author Topic: FL-01 Listener Group: Jones +6 (MAJOR OUTLIER)  (Read 1111 times)
Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« on: March 13, 2022, 03:29:49 PM »
« edited: March 13, 2022, 06:22:02 PM by Lone Star Politics »

Probably one of the worst polls from one of the worst polling groups I've ever seen. Laughably bad.

Aside from a certain someone in this forum (update: I was right) as well as resisters on twitter (as well as Rebekah herself), I don't know who else would believe these numbers.

(reminder this same polling group had "Christ" up by 17 I believe)
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S019
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« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2022, 03:33:11 PM »

This poll is basically useless and will be nowhere near the result. So, the only thing left to do is speculate how this absurd number even came about, and as I stated in the other thread it is likely because they did not include party affiliation. All this poll really tells us is whether or not people would be voting to vote for someone other than Gaetz (that someone also possibly being a Republican primary opponent), in that sense it is no better than "someone else" polls, which tend to have a comically high bias against incumbents. All of this is a long way of saying to trash this.
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Sestak
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« Reply #2 on: March 13, 2022, 03:36:00 PM »

gold standard
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weatherboy1102
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« Reply #3 on: March 13, 2022, 03:38:29 PM »


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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #4 on: March 13, 2022, 03:41:42 PM »

LOL. And I thought I was optimistic about Democrats chances this year.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: March 13, 2022, 03:45:22 PM »

Probably one of the worst polls from one of the worst polling groups I've ever seen. Laughably bad.

Aside from a certain someone in this forum as well as resisters on twitter, I don't know who else would believe these numbers.

(reminder this same polling group had "Christ" up by 17 I believe)

Lol, whom won 80/64 M votes Biden did whom helped Obama win 375 EC votes Biden did, change my map again, I underestimate Biden not overestimate
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: March 13, 2022, 03:46:13 PM »

This poll is basically useless and will be nowhere near the result. So, the only thing left to do is speculate how this absurd number even came about, and as I stated in the other thread it is likely because they did not include party affiliation. All this poll really tells us is whether or not people would be voting to vote for someone other than Gaetz (that someone also possibly being a Republican primary opponent), in that sense it is no better than "someone else" polls, which tend to have a comically high bias against incumbents. All of this is a long way of saying to trash this.


Lol you have WI Lean R and Evers has a 51 PERCENT APPROVAL rating in the Marquette Law School poll, I posted the poll

They correctly predicted Evers best Walker after all PUNDITRY had Walker beating Evers until Oct 18

Lone Star doesn't believe any pill that favors D's, D TRIFECTA
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #7 on: March 13, 2022, 04:05:34 PM »

This poll is basically useless and will be nowhere near the result. So, the only thing left to do is speculate how this absurd number even came about, and as I stated in the other thread it is likely because they did not include party affiliation. All this poll really tells us is whether or not people would be voting to vote for someone other than Gaetz (that someone also possibly being a Republican primary opponent), in that sense it is no better than "someone else" polls, which tend to have a comically high bias against incumbents. All of this is a long way of saying to trash this.


Lol you have WI Lean R and Evers has a 51 PERCENT APPROVAL rating in the Marquette Law School poll, I posted the poll

They correctly predicted Evers best Walker after all PUNDITRY had Walker beating Evers until Oct 18

Lone Star doesn't believe any pill that favors D's, D TRIFECTA

Or maybe it's because this district has a PVI of R+20???
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weatherboy1102
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« Reply #8 on: March 13, 2022, 04:26:12 PM »

This poll is basically useless and will be nowhere near the result. So, the only thing left to do is speculate how this absurd number even came about, and as I stated in the other thread it is likely because they did not include party affiliation. All this poll really tells us is whether or not people would be voting to vote for someone other than Gaetz (that someone also possibly being a Republican primary opponent), in that sense it is no better than "someone else" polls, which tend to have a comically high bias against incumbents. All of this is a long way of saying to trash this.


Lol you have WI Lean R and Evers has a 51 PERCENT APPROVAL rating in the Marquette Law School poll, I posted the poll

They correctly predicted Evers best Walker after all PUNDITRY had Walker beating Evers until Oct 18

Lone Star doesn't believe any pill that favors D's, D TRIFECTA

Didn't know he was a viagra denier
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2016
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« Reply #9 on: March 13, 2022, 04:40:47 PM »

This poll is basically useless and will be nowhere near the result. So, the only thing left to do is speculate how this absurd number even came about, and as I stated in the other thread it is likely because they did not include party affiliation. All this poll really tells us is whether or not people would be voting to vote for someone other than Gaetz (that someone also possibly being a Republican primary opponent), in that sense it is no better than "someone else" polls, which tend to have a comically high bias against incumbents. All of this is a long way of saying to trash this.


Lol you have WI Lean R and Evers has a 51 PERCENT APPROVAL rating in the Marquette Law School poll, I posted the poll

They correctly predicted Evers best Walker after all PUNDITRY had Walker beating Evers until Oct 18

Lone Star doesn't believe any pill that favors D's, D TRIFECTA

Or maybe it's because this district has a PVI of R+20???
I think it's even R+30!
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #10 on: March 13, 2022, 06:20:03 PM »

This poll is basically useless and will be nowhere near the result. So, the only thing left to do is speculate how this absurd number even came about, and as I stated in the other thread it is likely because they did not include party affiliation. All this poll really tells us is whether or not people would be voting to vote for someone other than Gaetz (that someone also possibly being a Republican primary opponent), in that sense it is no better than "someone else" polls, which tend to have a comically high bias against incumbents. All of this is a long way of saying to trash this.


Lol you have WI Lean R and Evers has a 51 PERCENT APPROVAL rating in the Marquette Law School poll, I posted the poll

They correctly predicted Evers best Walker after all PUNDITRY had Walker beating Evers until Oct 18

Lone Star doesn't believe any pill that favors D's, D TRIFECTA

Or maybe it's because this district has a PVI of R+20???
I think it's even R+30!

Could be, bottom line is Gaetz isn’t winning by anything less than 25, nor is he losing this race. Titanium Safe R.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #11 on: March 13, 2022, 09:05:21 PM »

I suppose if Gaetz gets indicted he could lose (see the election for LA-2 in 2008 for an example.)
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Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #12 on: March 13, 2022, 09:10:28 PM »

I suppose if Gaetz gets indicted he could lose (see the election for LA-2 in 2008 for an example.)

I think that a Generic D could sneak into the win in a case like that, but Jones is definitely not a Generic D.

I would bet money that Gaetz could win this race from a prison cell.
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Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
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« Reply #13 on: March 14, 2022, 12:27:14 AM »

I think Gaetz can definitely underperform Omar/King-style, but he's not losing. Listener Group is one of the worst pollsters out there, they said Crist is leading by 17.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #14 on: March 14, 2022, 08:00:24 AM »

I think Gaetz can definitely underperform Omar/King-style, but he's not losing. Listener Group is one of the worst pollsters out there, they said Crist is leading by 17.

According to you any Poll that have D's ahead is the worst poll guess what OH PREDICTIVE you call the worse poll had Biden losing OH and your FAV POLLSTER QU THAT HAS BUDEN AT 39 PREDICTED IN 2020 Biden to win OH
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20RP12
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« Reply #15 on: March 14, 2022, 08:06:31 AM »

Titanium D
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #16 on: March 14, 2022, 08:30:24 AM »

This verified that the Crist leading DeSANTIS poll was no joke, it was real

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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #17 on: March 14, 2022, 10:49:54 AM »

Nah... this is Safe R. (OC response incoming that I'm Gaetz apologist)

I first thought this was about a GOP primary.
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Pollster
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« Reply #18 on: March 14, 2022, 11:09:20 AM »

Obviously not an accurate poll (if it's even real) but how funny would it be if this were seat 218 for the Democrats.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #19 on: March 14, 2022, 12:35:32 PM »

Nah... this is Safe R. (OC response incoming that I'm Gaetz apologist)

I first thought this was about a GOP primary.


I wouldn't mind you saying that FL is safe R but you over prediction of FL and NC is on the Database, in 2020, thanks
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #20 on: March 14, 2022, 12:38:20 PM »

Obviously not an accurate poll (if it's even real) but how funny would it be if this were seat 218 for the Democrats.

LoL anything can happen I keep saying this in VBM not same day voting that's why it was predict it would be 130 M turnout in 20 but it was 150 M
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #21 on: March 15, 2022, 09:59:44 AM »

I don't know guys, the district did trend Democrat, and Rebekah Jones is a strong candidate.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #22 on: March 15, 2022, 09:29:49 PM »

I don't know guys, the district did trend Democrat, and Rebekah Jones is a strong candidate.

I see you forgot the /s
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Hollywood
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« Reply #23 on: March 16, 2022, 11:38:34 AM »

The Listener isn't a real poll.  It had Christ up by 15 and Fried by 10 against DeSantis right before the Democrats kicked off a fundraiser for their candidates, which completely failed to garner any substantial funds to compete with objectively one of the better Governors during the pandemic, Ron DeSantis.  Seems like Ds and Neocons are putting out a lot of fraudster polls this year in which the D is winning by crazy margins, or the Neocon Pub is the only one that can win.  None of the numbers make sense or represent anything close to reality.  Don't take from me.  As the below article states, the numbers in the Listener/Matrix Poll showing 60-40% Republican support for Rubio is 'unfathomable'.  And the fact that Half the Democrats choose Rubio is a ludicrous result that's supported by partisan voter breakdowns that are outside any valid metric or standard. 
https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?action=post;topic=486061.0;num_replies=22

This is a fake poll.  Excuse me... All Listener Polls from 2020 to 2021 are faked.  D or R campaign internals have more merit than Listeners.  And Nate Silver has turned himself into a complete clown and fraudster for disseminating too many of these polls.  He knows the information is bogus, but weights them anyway.   

I don't know what happened to this organization, but it should be graded 'F' until it demonstrates some  type of objectivity. 
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #24 on: March 16, 2022, 11:46:24 AM »

I don't know guys, the district did trend Democrat, and Rebekah Jones is a strong candidate.

I see you forgot the /s

I didn't think it was necessary.
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