Which governor of the Top-4 states wins by the widest margin?
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  Which governor of the Top-4 states wins by the widest margin?
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Poll
Question: Which governor of the 4 largest states wins reelection by the widest margin?
#1
Gavin Newsom (D-CA)
 
#2
Greg Abbott (R-TX)
 
#3
Ron DeSantis (R-FL)
 
#4
Kathy Hochul (D-NY)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 40

Author Topic: Which governor of the Top-4 states wins by the widest margin?  (Read 889 times)
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« on: March 02, 2022, 10:24:11 AM »

Governors of the 4 largest states (CA, TX, FL and NY) are up for reelection this year, and all of them are considered heavy favorites. 2 Dems and 2 GOPers. Who will win by the biggest margin?

My prediction is Newsom. Current predictions:

Newsom +20
Hochul +15

Abbott +15
DeSantis +12


I'm relatively certain all 4 win by double digits.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1 on: March 02, 2022, 10:33:44 AM »
« Edited: March 05, 2022, 10:58:19 AM by MT Treasurer »

My current guess:

CA: Newsom +16 (Safe D)

NY: Hochul +14 (Safe D)

TX: Abbott +13 (Safe R)

FL: DeSantis +11 (Safe R)
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: March 02, 2022, 10:44:43 AM »

Lol Abbott is not winning by 15 and DeSantis is not winning by 12 Sir Muhammad overpredicted Biden margin in 2020 in FL and NC and now he thinks a state won by Trump by 3 that DeSantis is gonna win by 12 DeSantis won by .5 and 2018 was a wave but the raw vote in 2018 wasn't 90 M for D's it was 46/43 M look at election results of 2018 Users think we won 2018 by 90 M votes no we didn't it was 46 M

Obviously, Newsom wins 63/37 there is no R party in California

We are gonna win the NPVI in 2022 by 65 M votes to Rs 60 that's what I predict Rs haven't won the NPVI in a long times
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: March 02, 2022, 10:52:03 AM »

My current guess:

CA: Newsom +16 (Safe D)

NY: Hochul +14 (Safe D)

TX: Abbott +13 (Safe R)

FL: DeSantis +12 (Safe R)

Lol DeSantis is not winning by 15 he may not be trailing Crist but he isn't 60/40 Gov
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Xing
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« Reply #4 on: March 02, 2022, 01:31:02 PM »

My guess:

CA: Newsom +21
NY: Hochul +17
TX: Abbott +12
FL: DeSantis +7
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President Johnson
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« Reply #5 on: March 02, 2022, 03:40:34 PM »

My guess:

CA: Newsom +21
NY: Hochul +18
TX: Abbott +13
FL: DeSantis +9


However, I wouldn't be shocked seeing Kathy Hochul narrowly topping Newsom's margin. Something like 58-37% in New York is definitely possible, while California is 59-41%.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #6 on: March 02, 2022, 04:05:53 PM »

Newsom
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lfromnj
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« Reply #7 on: November 14, 2022, 09:35:28 PM »
« Edited: November 14, 2022, 09:48:59 PM by lfromnj »

Currently its DeSantis by 19.5 and Newsom only has a 16.5  . I assume the rest of the ballots should bring him above DeSantis?

There was also 0 votes for DeSantis when I posted this, someone is late posting into the poll.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #8 on: November 14, 2022, 10:50:43 PM »

My original guesses would've been, had I a working computer...

Newsom + 26
Hochul +17
DeSantis +8
Abbott +6

I definitely didn't expect Abbott to do so well -- let alone DeSantis, nor Hochul to dive.  Newsom is still on track, but I didn't imagine it'd be this close.
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #9 on: November 15, 2022, 12:56:30 AM »

My current guess:

CA: Newsom +16 (Safe D)

NY: Hochul +14 (Safe D)

TX: Abbott +13 (Safe R)

FL: DeSantis +12 (Safe R)

Lol DeSantis is not winning by 15 he may not be trailing Crist but he isn't 60/40 Gov

Turns out he quite literally is! Sorry, Secular King.
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #10 on: November 15, 2022, 12:57:49 AM »

I voted only now, but I can honestly say I’d have definitely voted for CA (though I’d obviously not realize how much of a blowout FL-GOV would be and how close NY-GOV would be).
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