2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

NYT still showing Cisneros +2,300. But they don't have those Starr numbers entered yet.

[Mexican Wolf]

Cuellar's lead is down to 384 votes on CNN.

[2016]

Calling GA-SOS R FOR RAFFENSPERGER!!!! TRUMP GOES DOWN IN FLAMES!!!!!!!

And Ron DeSantis is laughing at all this. He kept quiet the entire Primary Season safe for the Laxalt Endorsement.

DeSantis will be the GOP Nominee in 2024 if Trump is going to be indicted.

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

Cuellar is a much better general election candidate. Shrug.

Cuellar is indistinguishable from a Republican, so it doesn’t really matter.

[GALeftist]

Cisneros has actually been doing better than I had thought was possible with EDay around San Antonio so not ready to call it yet, but I'd still rather be Cuellar

[2016]

Cisneros is ahead in the CNN Count by some 384 Votes and they have Starr County fully IN!

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling AR LT Gov R for Rutledge!

Uncalled:

GA-SOS D
GA LT GOV D & R
GA Agriculture Commissioner D
GA Insurance Commissioner D
GA Labor Commissioner D
GA Superintendent D
GA 1 D
GA 6 D & R
GA 10 D & R
GA 13 R
AL Sen R
AL Gov R
AL-2 D
AL-4 D
AL-5 D & R
AL Auditor R
AL SOS R
AR SOS D
TX Land Commissioner D
TX-15 D
TX-24 D
TX-28 D & R
TX-29 R
TX-32 R
TX-37 R
OR-5 D
PA-SEN R

[Logical]

All down to Zapata County turnout now lol.

[GALeftist]

I am ready to be hurt by Zapata County again! Cursed land.

I'm guessing Cuellar has a little over a 2,000 vote margin in the bank. It might not be impossible for Cisneros to overcome but it will be very very tough.

[Roll Roons]

80% in, Raff is still above 50 and election day votes aren't breaking against him. I've seen enough. God bless Georgia.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling TX-28 R for Garcia!
Calling TX-28 D for Cuellar!!!!!!!!

[Nyvin]

I am ready to be hurt by Zapata County again! Cursed land.

I'm guessing Cuellar has a little over a 2,000 vote margin in the bank. It might not be impossible for Cisneros to overcome but it will be very very tough.

How could Cuellar get a 2k margin from Zapata?  There were only 1826 Biden votes in the county in 2020.

I'm thinking like 1.2k to 1.6k absolute max.

The race is probably heavily in favor of Cuellar though.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

GA-1 D will be a RUNOFF between Griggs and Herring!

[GALeftist]

I am ready to be hurt by Zapata County again! Cursed land.

I'm guessing Cuellar has a little over a 2,000 vote margin in the bank. It might not be impossible for Cisneros to overcome but it will be very very tough.

How could Cuellar get a 2k margin from Zapata?  There were only 1826 Biden votes in the county in 2020.

I'm thinking like 1.2k to 1.6k absolute max.

The race is probably heavily in favor of Cuellar though.

Still votes left in Duval right? If it was just Zapata I'd have it at a true tossup rather than Likely Cuellar rn.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling GA Superintendent D for Searcy!

Uncalled:

GA-SOS D
GA LT GOV D & R
GA Agriculture Commissioner D
GA Insurance Commissioner D
GA Labor Commissioner D
GA 6 D & R
GA 10 D & R
GA 13 R
AL Sen R
AL Gov R
AL-2 D
AL-4 D
AL-5 D & R
AL Auditor R
AL SOS R
AR SOS D
TX Land Commissioner D
TX-15 D
TX-24 D
TX-29 R
TX-32 R
TX-37 R
OR-5 D
PA-SEN R

[2016]

Looks like the entire Republicans in GA running Statewide will avoid Runoffs:

Kemp - Won
Walker - Won
Raffensberger - WON
Carr - WON
Vernon Jones (Lt Gov) could also avoid a Runoff

[GALeftist]

Whoa what in the world just dropped in TX-28 lol

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I am ready to be hurt by Zapata County again! Cursed land.

I'm guessing Cuellar has a little over a 2,000 vote margin in the bank. It might not be impossible for Cisneros to overcome but it will be very very tough.

How could Cuellar get a 2k margin from Zapata?  There were only 1826 Biden votes in the county in 2020.

I'm thinking like 1.2k to 1.6k absolute max.

The race is probably heavily in favor of Cuellar though.

I could easily imagine some Trump voters in South Texas choosing to vote in the Democratic primary for Cuellar.  Whether they vote for an actual Republican over him in November remains to be seen, however.

[Xing]

Unless there are more votes out than expected from Bexar, Cuellar has this. Ugh.

[Adam Griffin]

Don't call it for Raffy yet IMO:

Raffy getting 49.90% currently in Whitfield County (compared to Hice's 36.74%) - whew. There's still possibly a chance he falls below the runoff threshold (more D-leaning turf is outstanding, which means fewer Ds crossing over to vote in GOP primaries than vice-versa compared to statewide figures - which may lower his advantage [from lots of Ds in GOP counties crossing over out of practicality]).

Even if he does fall below 50%+1, unless it's a Cagle-type situation, he'll win a runoff easily.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Whoa what in the world just dropped in TX-28 lol

Bexar reported its last bit, if you're referring to Cisneros retaking the lead on NYT. But Zapata and Duval will erase that and then some.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Whoa what in the world just dropped in TX-28 lol

Bexar reported its last bit, if you're referring to Cisneros retaking the lead on NYT. But Zapata and Duval will erase that and then some.

I think they're referring to it being 53-47 for Cueller right now.

[Minnesota Mike]

Whoa what in the world just dropped in TX-28 lol

Bexar reported its last bit, if you're referring to Cisneros retaking the lead on NYT. But Zapata and Duval will erase that and then some.

They also had an error in Starr they corrected.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Whoa what in the world just dropped in TX-28 lol

Bexar reported its last bit, if you're referring to Cisneros retaking the lead on NYT. But Zapata and Duval will erase that and then some.

I think they're referring to it being 53-47 for Cueller right now.

Looks like the Clinton News Network has a batch of Webb votes that NYT has not reported.

[Minnesota Mike]

Whoa what in the world just dropped in TX-28 lol

Bexar reported its last bit, if you're referring to Cisneros retaking the lead on NYT. But Zapata and Duval will erase that and then some.

I think they're referring to it being 53-47 for Cueller right now.

Looks like the Clinton News Network has a batch of Webb votes that NYT has not reported.

Election day from Webb dropped netting Cuellar about 1,900 votes.
https://www.webbcountytx.gov/electionsadministration/May72022.pdf