2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)

[Roll Roons]

Nathaniel Moran is expected to win in the First District: "Moran is going to replace a moron."

Incidentally, Moran appears to be much less of a moron than the man he'll replace.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Are early votes counted first or last? Because if early votes are counted first, Van Taylor is essentially guaranteed to be put in a runoff and probably Luttrell too. If not, they've won.

[Unelectable Bystander]

This looks like an emerging pattern of Texas republicans backing generic candidates over fake “trumpists”. It looks as possible as ever that the electorate just enjoys Bush or Romney types more than Trump rather than Texas shifting to D+10 by next year

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Are early votes counted first or last? Because if early votes are counted first, Van Taylor is essentially guaranteed to be put in a runoff and probably Luttrell too. If not, they've won.

bump

[Zenobiyl]

My gut tells me George P. Bush makes it to 2nd spot, based off the slow gains he’s making from West Texas. It will be a nail-biter though.

[Unelectable Bystander]

My gut tells me George P. Bush makes it to 2nd spot, based off the slow gains he’s making from West Texas. It will be a nail-biter though.

What makes him such a west Texas titan?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Are early votes counted first or last? Because if early votes are counted first, Van Taylor is essentially guaranteed to be put in a runoff and probably Luttrell too. If not, they've won.

Generally first.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling:

D Gov:

Beto O’Rourke
512,111   92.1%   
Joy Diaz
17,332   3.1%   

R Gov:

Greg Abbott*
551,105   69.2%   
Don Huffines
91,775   11.5%   


R Lt Gov:

Dan Patrick*
465,127   78.2%   
Trayce Bradford
36,305   6.1%

D Ag Commissioner:

Hays 83%
Ireson 17%
19%   

R Comptroller:

Hegar* 83%
Goloby 17%
25%

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling:

1 Rep.   
Moran 80%
McDaniel 13%
20%   

4 Rep.   
Fallon* 63%
Thomas 24%
29%   

15 Rep.   
De La Cruz 64%
Garza 18%
38%

31 Rep.   
Carter* 70%
Williams 20%
48%   

33 Rep.   
Gillespie 64%
Mac Glaflin 36%
44%   

34 Dem.   
Gonzalez* 75%
Cisneros 15%
29%   

35 Dem.   
Casar 60%
Rodriguez 17%
57%   

[Mexican Wolf]

I know there's currently less than 5% of precincts reporting there right now, but the 28th District's primary is way too close for comfort right now.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I know there's currently less than 5% of precincts reporting there right now, but the 28th District's primary is way too close for comfort right now.

NYT has over half the vote reporting there? Still incredibly tight though

[Morning in Atlas]

I know there's currently less than 5% of precincts reporting there right now, but the 28th District's primary is way too close for comfort right now.

Yeah I'm almost positive this goes to a runoff. I already had low expectations for this race already because of Cuellar's personal brand and would be thrilled if Cisneros cleared 50.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Proceeds to a Runoff:

30 R:
James Harris
1,758 32.9%
James Rodgers
1,700 31.8%
Kelvin Goodwin-Castillo
916 17.2%
44%

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Van Taylor proceeding to a runoff is REALLY bad news for impeachment Rs.
While Luttrell won over Collins, neither of them were critical of Trump or spoke out against the 2020 fraud claims.
Van Taylor's main criticism against him was voting for the bipartisan Jan 6 commission and voting to certify. If that can get someone in a runoff, I don't see any hope of Republicans who voted for impeachment making it out.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling:

3 Dem.
Srivastava 62%
Shelby 38%
51%

16 Dem.
Escobar* 89%
Berrios 11%
48%

27 Dem.
Perez 63%
Tristan 24%
59%

Proceeds to Runoff:

38 Dem.
Diana Alexander
4,965 42.5%
Duncan Klussmann
4,886 41.8%
Centrell Reed
1,828 15.7%
45%

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Honestly, Van Taylor seems VERY likely to get into a runoff right now. Most of the early vote which would favor him has already come in, and the areas which he's doing poorly in (Hunt County, which was put into his district in redistricting) have way less votes in than the areas he's doing well in. And that's with him only being at 51% right now.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

As TX-08 has 92% of the vote in with Luttrell at 54% according to DDHQ, I think its safe to say he's avoided a runoff.

[Mexican Wolf]

I know there's currently less than 5% of precincts reporting there right now, but the 28th District's primary is way too close for comfort right now.

NYT has over half the vote reporting there? Still incredibly tight though

I'm following on Politico, which only had 5% of precincts reporting when I posted this. Currently, they have 39.6% of precincts reporting compared to NYT.

[Roll Roons]

Based on what I can see from DDHQ, it actually seems like Taylor will probably avoid a runoff by the skin of his teeth. They have 86% reporting.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Based on what I can see from DDHQ, it actually seems like Taylor will probably avoid a runoff by the skin of his teeth. They have 86% reporting.

86% reporting with Van Taylor at 51% and his % going down every time its updated... idk will be close either way

[Minnesota Mike]

 I think Cuellar is going to come in first in TX28 but it probably goes to a runoff. He trails by about 4% but nothing in yet from Starr or Zapata counties where he should put up big margins.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling:

34 Rep.
Flores 61%
McCaffrey 22%
70%

Proceeds to Runoff:

1 Dem.
Jrmar Jefferson
5,695 45.5%
Victor Dunn
3,505 28.0%
Stephen Kocen
1,830 14.6%
78%



What I have not called:

Att. Gen. D & R
Lt. Gov. D
Ag. Commissioner R
Comptroller D
Land Commissioner D & R
Railroad Commissioner R
---Districts:
3 R
5 D
7 R
8 R
14 D
15 D
21 D
23 D
24 D
28 D & R
29 R
30 D
32 R
35 R
37 R
38 R

[GregTheGreat657]

Cuellar is down by 4 with 44.5% in. This will likely be close, but I expect that he loses to Jessica Cisneros

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Cuellar is down by 4 with 44.5% in. This will likely be close, but I expect that he loses to Jessica Cisneros

Idk, there's a lot of counties favorable to Cuellar which have barely reported yet. I think he might end up winning without a runoff sadly.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

With >99% in, Morgan Luttrell has won in TX-08 without a runoff.
There was literally no polling done so no one really knew where this race was at, but it is notable he won against a MTG/Cruz backed far-right winger.