2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)
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  2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)
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Author Topic: 2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)  (Read 85669 times)
Pink Panther
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« Reply #475 on: May 17, 2022, 07:12:11 PM »

McCormick's in the lead, big. I guess primary polling is broken too.
2% is in right now. Wait.
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Sol
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« Reply #476 on: May 17, 2022, 07:13:11 PM »

Are we just gonna ignore that North Carolina has a "Transylvania County"?

One of the wettest places in the world, much of it is temperate rainforest. Brevard is a collegey town and also the Blackest place in WNC outside of Asheville, but otherwise it's very similar to Henderson except without the suburban aspect.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #477 on: May 17, 2022, 07:13:29 PM »

McCormick's in the lead, big. I guess primary polling is broken too.
2% is in right now. Wait.

It wouldn't be an Atlas Election Night if SnowLab didn't start packing up early.  

(No offense at all intended, SnowLab Smiley
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Pheurton Skeurto
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« Reply #478 on: May 17, 2022, 07:13:36 PM »

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Sestak
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« Reply #479 on: May 17, 2022, 07:13:36 PM »

Kenyatta a couple points ahead of Fetterman in Philly. Lamb a very distant third. This race is over and it's not close.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #480 on: May 17, 2022, 07:13:44 PM »

Calling NC-3 R for Murphy!
Calling NC-5 R for Foxx!
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Buffalo Mayor Young Kim
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« Reply #481 on: May 17, 2022, 07:14:20 PM »

And Kenyatta finally got a bump in the last dump, up to 12%. Fetterman still over 50 and Lamb right at 33
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Nyvin
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« Reply #482 on: May 17, 2022, 07:14:51 PM »

McCormick's in the lead, big. I guess primary polling is broken too.

That's dropping pretty fast, and not much is in yet.
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Morning in Atlas
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« Reply #483 on: May 17, 2022, 07:16:02 PM »




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Mexican Wolf
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« Reply #484 on: May 17, 2022, 07:16:24 PM »

I assume Lamb's support was supposed to be more regionally concentrated than Fetterman, which would mean...fairly comfortable win looking likely?

I would guess.  I do think it's interesting that...oh, I'm sorry, I can't remember the user...posted about an anecdote wherein a Fetterman voter switched to Lamb due to the former's health issues.  

I also know at least two Fetterman voters (husband and wife) who voted Lamb because they were concerned about his ability to handle the rigors of a U.S. Senate job, but of course this is TOTALLY anecdotal and non-scientific.  

Might've been me you were thinking of haha. Anyway, yeah, I figured Lamb's support would be more regional than Fetterman's. It's still early on, but I think Lamb will carry a couple of counties out west, maybe Greene, Fayette, or Beaver considering they were in his old and/or current district.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #485 on: May 17, 2022, 07:16:46 PM »

Are we just gonna ignore that North Carolina has a "Transylvania County"?

One of the wettest places in the world, much of it is temperate rainforest. Brevard is a collegey town and also the Blackest place in WNC outside of Asheville, but otherwise it's very similar to Henderson except without the suburban aspect.

Not nearly as Republican as I thought it would be, either.  Was "only" R+16 in 2020.

Good stuff, thanks Sol (though I am a bit disappointed your description didn't mention anything about vampires).  
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Unelectable Bystander
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« Reply #486 on: May 17, 2022, 07:17:07 PM »

I’m moving PA to the furthest left of the 4 most competitive seats
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #487 on: May 17, 2022, 07:19:30 PM »

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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #488 on: May 17, 2022, 07:20:38 PM »

Austin Davis (Shapiro's pick for Lt.) is leading Sims in Philly. Good sign for him.

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GALeftist
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« Reply #489 on: May 17, 2022, 07:20:52 PM »

Lamb losing Washington County early vote by 17 points lol
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #490 on: May 17, 2022, 07:21:20 PM »



Is it possible Cawthorn sees...BOLSTERED support from these "scandals"?
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Pheurton Skeurto
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« Reply #491 on: May 17, 2022, 07:21:44 PM »

Cawthorn getting pantsed so far. Would love to see him go down.
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Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!
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« Reply #492 on: May 17, 2022, 07:21:56 PM »

It stands to reason that McCormick would do much better with the early votes whereas Barnette would do much worse which explains the current results
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #493 on: May 17, 2022, 07:22:08 PM »



Is it possible Cawthorn sees...BOLSTERED support from these "scandals"?

Probably not, considering the final result is likely to be embarrassingly close for an incumbent.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #494 on: May 17, 2022, 07:22:46 PM »

I assume Lamb's support was supposed to be more regionally concentrated than Fetterman, which would mean...fairly comfortable win looking likely?

I would guess.  I do think it's interesting that...oh, I'm sorry, I can't remember the user...posted about an anecdote wherein a Fetterman voter switched to Lamb due to the former's health issues.  

I also know at least two Fetterman voters (husband and wife) who voted Lamb because they were concerned about his ability to handle the rigors of a U.S. Senate job, but of course this is TOTALLY anecdotal and non-scientific.  

Might've been me you were thinking of haha. Anyway, yeah, I figured Lamb's support would be more regional than Fetterman's. It's still early on, but I think Lamb will carry a couple of counties out west, maybe Greene, Fayette, or Beaver considering they were in his old and/or current district.

Well Fetterman is also from the west.

It stands to reason that McCormick would do much better with the early votes whereas Barnette would do much worse which explains the current results

Which just means this election will be a mess.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #495 on: May 17, 2022, 07:23:13 PM »

Calling PA-SEN D for Fetterman!
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #496 on: May 17, 2022, 07:23:18 PM »

Cawthorn getting pantsed so far. Would love to see him go down.

Careful with that phrasing, given everything else we've already seen about Cawthorn.
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UncleSam
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« Reply #497 on: May 17, 2022, 07:23:21 PM »

Standard disclaimer for primary vote totals not being predictive, but if the OH Sen vote totals spelled doom for Dems there, then the NC numbers should offer a glimmer of hope. Dems will end up having roughly the same total primary vote despite a slightly less competitive primary.

Extra disclaimer: Dems apparently had 60% of the total primary vote in 2020 and lost the senate race under similar conditions.

Regardless, indicates Beasley has a lot of fervent supporters and that Dem enthusiasm may be better than it was after the abortion decision got leaked.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #498 on: May 17, 2022, 07:23:27 PM »

Cawthorn getting pantsed so far. Would love to see him go down.

This could possibly be worded better.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #499 on: May 17, 2022, 07:24:09 PM »

Cawthorn getting pantsed so far. Would love to see him go down.

This could possibly be worded better.

HAAAHAHAHAHA
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