I would be fairly surprised if he were recalled. Not a single member of the Board of Supervisors has endorsed the recall attempt and a majority of supervisors have come out against recall. London Breed does not like Boudin and might be expected to endorse his recall, but the fact that she hasn't yet is significant because it indicates that the recall effort hasn't gained enough groundswell support to feel comfortable.
If you don't trust my skepticism, the local paper has much the same opinion. The people who led the school board recall effort are not at all the same people who are pushing to recall Boudin, and many of the former group have the general hostility toward recall elections typical of California liberals. Drawing parallels between one and the other is lazy.
Well, the whole California democratic establishment also threw their full weight behind the affirmative action ballot initiative, and we all saw how that turned out. Fortunately, it seems there are enough people left who don't just follow their political leaders' every opinion.
The Mayor has publicly been neutral on the recall, but she’s known to dislike Boudin.
Boudin has largely been the mayor’s political human shield on crime, absorbing most of the criticism from voters. The result: 74% of the respondents disapproved of him and 78% gave Boudin a negative job performance rating, according to a March survey of 800 likely voters by EMC Research, which was commissioned by the pro-recall campaign.
Breed has done little to hide her disdain for Boudin. While she may be publicly neutral on the recall, when asked in February whether she had faith in what the district attorney was doing, Breed replied: “I am not necessarily on the same page with a number of things that he’s doing.”
I’m more curious who Boudin’s replacement would be and whether they would be able to put a dent in crime rates
than whether he’ll be recalled.Breed hasn’t spent time focused on who she’d pick to replace Boudin. She is concentrating on the issues that voters care most about — like housing and homelessness. But if Boudin is recalled, she will be on the clock.
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