Will Chesa Boudin be recalled?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

At this point I'm not only pretty much dead certain he will be, I'd be surprised if he even breaks 40%.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I just made a post about this last night that I guess BRTD didn't put any stock in.

The school renaming got out-of-towners' attention because it fit neatly into existing national narratives, but understandably parents were less concerned with what schools were named than whether their children were attending those schools at all. This wouldn't have happened if the board hadn't actively stonewalled efforts to plan for reopening.

For similar reasons, this has little to nothing to do with the Chesa Boudin recall. The issues are not related. Boudin has the support of a large majority of the Board of Supervisors, whereas the recalled school board members received no support from city politicians and a number of supervisors actively endorsed recall. David Campos, who ran in today's Assembly special election on an avowedly left-wing platform, is among the names listed under the endorsements section on the school board recall website. This simply did not play out as a meaningfully partisan issue.

I would be fairly surprised if he were recalled. Not a single member of the Board of Supervisors has endorsed the recall attempt and a majority of supervisors have come out against recall. London Breed does not like Boudin and might be expected to endorse his recall, but the fact that she hasn't yet is significant because it indicates that the recall effort hasn't gained enough groundswell support to feel comfortable.

If you don't trust my skepticism, the local paper has much the same opinion. The people who led the school board recall effort are not at all the same people who are pushing to recall Boudin, and many of the former group have the general hostility toward recall elections typical of California liberals. Drawing parallels between one and the other is lazy.

Nah, I just kind of overlooked it with everything else I was reading.

Interesting input. I guess we'll see. I'll definitely rescind the not breaking 40% part though. But while there's definite differences as noted well, I can't see how he could be popular now.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

How many "working class" people even live in San Francisco either for that matter? Most people considered upper middle class in most of the country would have difficulty living there. I could make double my salary and would still have an easier time living on my current salary in Minneapolis than on that in San Francisco.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I don’t think San Francisco is any better off without Boudin is the thing. The rise in crime to the extent it is occurring is a nationwide development likely related to the pandemic, and I don’t really think a return to tough on crime era politics is the answer here.

The question isn't so much is Boudin solely or even primarily responsible for the crime increase but rather was he making things better or worse. I think the answer there is clear.