Are Democrats the majority party?

[ProgressiveModerate]

Not neccessarily as it translates to results but just in terms of raw votes.

They've won the PV in 7 of the 8 past elections, and they have a higher floor in the EC.


In the House and Senate though, we've had some more even years recently like 2016 and in 2022 it seems very possible the GOP wins more votes nationally, though if tehy can actually win by 8%+ like Dems did in 2018 will be very telling.

[It’s so Joever]

Lol.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Objectively yes.

[Mr.Phips]

Maybe when it comes to the Presidential popular vote (which only wins them the electoral college a little less than three quarters of the time), but nowhere else.

[indietraveler]

Yes, but it's not like it is a large majority that couldn't be overcome. Obviously republicans have structural advantages to make it seem otherwise.

[Torie]

https://news.gallup.com/poll/388781/political-party-preferences-shifted-greatly-during-2021.aspx

[Skill and Chance]

Maybe when it comes to the Presidential popular vote (which only wins them the electoral college a little less than three quarters of the time), but nowhere else.

Basically this.  The ~2.5% advantage doesn't matter if you don't get to control anything with a narrow "win."  Dems "won" by 0.5% in 2000 and then by 2.1% in 2016 and both times came away with nothing to show for it federally.  5/8 in actual EC wins isn't historically impressive, especially when 2 of the 5 wins came during economic crises.  And then there was the 1% win in the US House in 2012 that didn't even come close to a majority, and don't even get me started about the state legislatures.

It's probably just an artifact of presidential/legislative candidates not actively competing for the PV to begin with.  When conservative downballot candidates actively compete in Safe Dem states, they tend to outperform the presidential losses significantly.