In October 2020, this pollster had McConnell ahead 9, 51-42. He won by 20, 58-38.
If Rand Paul is a "weak incumbent", then Mitch McConnell is a dreadful one.
That Beshear approval rating is also ridiculous, although it wouldn't surprise me if he got a tornado response bump and is in the mid-50's.
By how much do you think Paul will win by? I could easily see him receiving over 60% against Booker.
Probably 25-30%, roughly the same or slightly higher than Trump's margin. Much like how polls overestimated McGrath's %, I don't expect Booker to get more than high 30's.
