2010 redistricting if parties could see into the future?

[Tekken_Guy]

What would parties do differently in redistricting in the 2010s cycle if they could see the results of elections through the decade?

[TML]

In Arkansas, Democrats would likely draw one district which stretches from Little Rock out east toward the Mississippi River Valley (such a district would still be D-leaning now).

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

In Arkansas, Democrats would likely draw one district which stretches from Little Rock out east toward the Mississippi River Valley (such a district would still be D-leaning now).

Nah they were too racist for that.

[Brittain33]

Illinois would have taken more risks in outer Chicagoland and fewer risks downstate. They wouldn't have tried for two downstate districts and instead of creating two Republican vote sinks in IL-6 and IL-14, would have stretched existing Dem districts to eliminate IL-6 as a Republican seat.

[bagelman]

Ohio Republicans would be generous in northeast Ohio, allowing a Toledo based seat separate from the rest of the north coast and a united Mahoning seat without Akron. Akron would probably still be divided up.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Knowing what we know now alongside IL and AR, I feel like maybe states which had their maps overturned eventually may have been slightly more humble to try and have the map survive across the decade. One could argue the redrawing of maps in states like PA and FL is the only reason Dems ultimately won the House in 2020.

[GregTheGreat657]

I think VA R's would not have taken as many risks in the suburbs

[ProgressiveModerate]

I think VA R's would not have taken as many risks in the suburbs

They prolly would've kept their NOVA config though. VA-10 held till 2018 at which point it was pretty much impossible to keep NOVA to jsut 2 Dem seats

[lfromnj]

I wonder if the WI GOP eliminates the arm from WI07 into WI03. Duffy won by 12 points in 2012.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I think VA R's would not have taken as many risks in the suburbs

Probably they'd keep the same map. It worked brilliantly for three cycles. Enough to justify it from a partisan gain perspective.

[Libertas Vel Mors]

I think VA R's would not have taken as many risks in the suburbs

Probably they'd keep the same map. It worked brilliantly for three cycles. Enough to justify it from a partisan gain perspective.

I think they'd kill VA-04 if they knew it was eventually going to be ruled illegal and draw safer VA-02s and VA-07s instead.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I think VA R's would not have taken as many risks in the suburbs

Probably they'd keep the same map. It worked brilliantly for three cycles. Enough to justify it from a partisan gain perspective.

I think they'd kill VA-04 if they knew it was eventually going to be ruled illegal and draw safer VA-02s and VA-07s instead.

You know, that's also a strong possibility.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Tennessee would have probably gone for 8-1 10 years ago.  There was talk of it at the time, but there was concern that the rural areas of Middle and West Tennessee weren't durably Republican.  So they made sure to include Nashville suburbs in TN-4-7 and Memphis suburbs in TN-8 to fortify them.

[Calthrina950]

In Georgia, Republicans probably would have attempted to stretch GA-06 and GA-07 further out into the rural and exurban areas surrounding Atlanta, and possibly attempted to further pad the Democratic margins in GA-04, GA-05, and GA-13. As for Texas, they would have drawn a more aggressive gerrymander, perhaps creating a vote sink in Austin and reinforcing the suburban districts in the Dallas and Houston areas.