Rate Orange County, CA in a non-Trump race (user search)
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  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Rate Orange County, CA in a non-Trump race (search mode)
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Poll
Question: If the 2024 election is between Biden and a non-Trump Republican, how would you rate Orange County?
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Tossup / Tilt D		  
#5
Tossup / Tilt R		  
#6
Lean R		  
#7
Likely R		  
#8
Safe R		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 54

Author Topic: Rate Orange County, CA in a non-Trump race  (Read 1235 times)
Vice President Christian Man
Christian Man
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,511
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -2.26

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« on: January 22, 2022, 08:14:34 PM »
« edited: January 22, 2022, 08:26:13 PM by Everyone Needs Jesus Christ »
I think any Rep other than Trump and maybe Ted Cruz could've won it in 2016 and even in 2020 if Clinton was the incumbent, but I think it's too far gone for it to vote Rep. Maybe if a Sununu or Hogan type win the nomination it could vote as a last hurrah of types, before becoming safe D. I doubt someone like Hawley, Carlson, or DeSantis would be able to carry it. After all it voted against the Newsom recall, which means that unlike Virginia, it didn't bounce back once Trump left office. I'll rate it lean D, but closer to likely than tossup.
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Vice President Christian Man
Christian Man
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,511
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -2.26

P P P

WWW
« Reply #1 on: January 22, 2022, 08:26:51 PM »
Quote from: Senator CentristRepublican on January 22, 2022, 08:23:51 PM
Quote from: Everyone Needs Jesus Christ on January 22, 2022, 08:14:34 PM
I think any Rep other than Trump and maybe Ted Cruz could've won it in 2016 and even in 2020 if Clinton was the incumbent, but I think it's too far gone for it to vote Rep. Maybe if a Sununu or Hogan type win the nomination it could vote as a last hurrah of types, before becoming safe D. I doubt someone like Hawley, Carlson, or DeSantis would be able to carry it. After all it voted against the Newsom recall, which means that unlike Virginia, it didn't bounce back once Trump left office. I'll rate it lean D, but closer to likely than tossup.

What?

Some people want Tucker to run for president and if he hypothetically wins the nomination, I doubt he'd carry OC.
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