Australia 2022 Election

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Moore

Ian Goodenough	41.8	41.9	42.0	42.3	43.2	46.8	50.7
Tom French	32.7	32.8	32.9	33.0	34.4	35.4	49.3
Mark Cooper	14.3	14.3	14.4	14.6	15.5	17.7
Brian Brightman	3.4	3.5	4.1	5.9	6.9
Peter Gunness	3.0	3.1	3.8	4.3
Helen Watkinson	2.2	2.4	2.8
Sue Andersson	1.8	2.1
Martin Suter	0.8

O'Connor

Rick Wilson	44.8	44.8	45.0	45.6	47.3	48.0	53.1	57.0
Shaneane Weldon	26.6	26.7	26.8	27.2	27.5	27.8	31.1	43.0
Giz Watson	10.6	10.8	10.9	11.3	11.5	12.1	15.7
Stan Kustrin	7.1	7.2	8.0	8.5	9.2	12.1
Justin Moseley	2.9	3.0	3.1	3.3
Morris Bessant	2.4	2.6	2.8
Brenden Barber	2.4	3.0	3.4	4.0	4.5
Tracy Tirronen	1.8	1.9
Isaac Middle	1.4

Pearce

Tracey Roberts	42.8	42.8	43.1	43.3	43.5	44.1	44.5	46.2	59.0
Linda Aitken	29.9	30.0	30.4	31.5	31.6	32.2	32.6	37.0	41.0
Donna Nelson	11.0	11.0	11.2	11.4	12.2	12.9	13.4	16.8
Aaron Malloy	4.5	4.6	4.8	5.3	6.1	6.8	9.5
Trevor Dalby	2.7	2.7	2.9	3.0	3.6	4.1
Jim Paice	2.3	2.4	2.6	2.7	3.1
Roslyn Stewart	2.3	2.5	2.6	2.7
Vanessa Montgomery	2.2	2.3	2.4
David Marshall	1.6	1.7
Nigel March	0.7

Perth

Patrick Gorman	39.2	39.3	39.3	39.6	39.8	40.0	40.2	41.0	42.7	64.8
David Dwyer	26.7	26.8	26.8	27.3	27.4	27.9	28.2	28.9	31.4	35.2
Caroline Perks	22.2	22.2	22.2	22.4	23.0	23.2	23.4	24.1	25.9
Cameron Bailey	2.7	2.8	3.0	3.2	3.3	3.8	5.1	6.0
Dave Vos	1.8	1.9	2.0	2.1	2.5	2.7	3.2
Sonya Eberhart	1.6	1.7	1.8	2.0	2.1	2.4
Sarah Szmekura-Moor	1.5	1.5	1.6	1.7
Dean Powell	1.5	1.5	1.6	1.8	1.8
Evan Nickols	1.4	1.4	1.6
Aiden Gyuru	0.7	0.9
Sean Connor	0.7

Swan

Zaneta Mascarenhas	39.1	39.1	39.4	39.6	40.2	40.9	41.4	43.2	58.8
Kristy McSweeney	32.1	32.1	32.6	33.3	33.8	34.1	34.9	37.7	41.2
Clint Uink	14.9	14.9	15.0	15.2	15.6	16.8	17.3	19.2
Paul Hilton	2.6	2.7	3.0	3.5	3.7	4.2	6.4
Peter Hallifax	2.5	2.7	3.0	3.3	3.7	4.0
Timothy Green	2.2	2.3	2.5	2.6	3.0
Rod Bradley	2.1	2.2	2.4	2.6
Dena Gower	1.9	2.0	2.1
Matthew Thompson	1.8	2.0
Carl Pallier	0.8

Tangney

Ben Morton	40.0	40.1	40.4	40.6	41.1	42.6	45.0	47.6
Sam Lim	38.1	38.1	38.2	38.4	39.0	39.4	40.6	52.4
Adam Abdul Razak	12.0	12.0	12.2	12.3	12.8	13.0	14.4
Mark Staer	2.3	2.4	2.5	2.7	3.0
Tshung-Hui Chang	2.1	2.3	2.5	3.6	4.1	5.0
Jay Dean Gillett	1.9	2.1	2.2	2.4
Travis Llewellyn Mark	1.6	1.7	1.9
Jacqueline Holroyd	1.0	1.2
Brent Fowler	1.0

[AustralianSwingVoter]

South Australia


Adelaide

Steve Georganas	40.0	40.0	40.3	40.8	41.8	61.9
Amy Grantham	32.0	32.1	32.2	32.7	35.1	38.9
Rebecca Galdies	20.1	20.2	21.0	21.5	23.2
Gayle Allwood	3.0	3.3	3.4	5.1
Sean Allwood	2.7	2.9	3.1
Matthew McMillan	1.4	1.6
Faith Gerhard	0.8

Barker

Tony Pasin	53.2	53.3	53.4	54.3	55.0	55.9	57.7	66.6
Mark Braes	20.8	21.0	21.1	21.2	21.6	22.4	28.1	33.4
Rosa Hillam	7.4	7.5	7.6	7.7	8.1	9.2
Carlos Quaremba	6.6	6.7	6.9	7.8	9.5	12.5	14.2
David Swiggs	4.0	4.1	4.2	4.4
Maddy Fry	3.0	3.1	4.3	4.6	5.7
Jonathan Pietzsch	2.4	2.5	2.6
Vince Pannell	1.8	1.9
Kym Hanton	0.7

Boothby

Rachel Swift	38.0	38.0	38.1	38.2	38.7	39.1	40.6	42.5	46.7
Louise Miller-Frost	32.3	32.3	32.4	32.6	32.7	32.9	33.2	35.9	53.3
Jeremy Carter	15.2	15.2	15.2	15.8	16.0	16.2	16.8	21.6
Jo Dyer	6.5	6.6	6.8	7.1	7.2	7.6	9.4
Graeme Clark	2.2	2.3	2.4	2.5	2.8	4.2
Bob Couch	2.0	2.1	2.3	2.3	2.7
Frankie Bray	1.2	1.2	1.3
Aleksandra Nikolic	1.1	1.2	1.4	1.4
Paul Busuttil	0.9	1.0
Peter Harris	0.5

Grey

Rowan Ramsey	45.3	45.4	45.6	46.1	46.8	47.8	51.1	60.1
Julie Watson	21.4	21.5	21.6	21.8	22.3	25.2	27.0	39.9
Liz Habermann	11.3	11.3	11.9	12.1	13.1	16.5	21.9
Tim White	6.8	6.8	7.0	7.2	7.9
Kerry Ann White	6.3	6.4	6.6	6.9	9.9	10.5
Suzanne Waters	5.6	5.7	5.8	6.1
Peter Miller	1.4	1.5	1.5
Richard Carmody	1.3	1.4
Tracey Dempsey	0.7

Hindmarsh

Mark Butler	42.2	42.2	42.3	42.7	43.5	45.3	58.9
Anna Finizio	32.7	32.7	32.8	33.0	33.6	37.0	41.1
Patrick O'Sullivan	13.9	13.9	14.0	15.0	15.7	17.7
Walter Johnson	3.9	4.0	4.4	4.6	7.2
George Melissourgos	3.5	3.7	4.1	4.5
Matt Pastro	2.1	2.2	2.4
Jamie Witt	1.1	1.2
Dianne Richards	0.6

Kingston

Amanda Rishworth	49.2	49.3	49.8	50.4	53.0	66.4
Kathleen Bourne	25.9	25.9	26.3	26.8	30.8	33.6
John Photakis	12.4	12.5	13.1	13.7	16.1
Robert Godfrey-Brown	4.9	5.2	6.2	9.1
Russell Jackson	4.0	4.2	4.7
Rob De Jonge	2.7	2.9
Sam Enright	1.0

Makin

Tony Zappia	46.3	46.8	47.7	49.7	60.8
Alan Howard-Jones	31.4	31.7	32.3	36.1	39.2
Emma Mustaca	11.4	11.6	12.2	14.1
Rajan Vaid	4.7	5.2	7.9
Kimberley Drozdoff	4.3	4.7
Abram Lazootin	1.8

Mayo

Rebekha Sharkie	31.4	31.5	31.7	32.1	32.5	35.8	42.0	62.3
Allison Bluck	27.0	27.1	27.5	27.6	28.0	31.0	32.3	37.7	48.4
Marisa Bell	18.1	18.1	18.3	18.5	18.8	19.4	25.7		51.6
Greg Elliott	11.8	11.8	11.9	12.6	12.9	13.8
Tonya Scott	4.1	4.5	4.9	5.0	7.7
Samantha McGrail	3.5	3.8	4.0	4.1
Padma Chaplin	1.7	1.7	1.8
Jacob van Raalte	1.2	1.4
Mark Neugebauer	1.1

Spence

Matt Burnell	43.9	44.1	46.0	54.7	62.9
Shawn Lock	25.6	25.7	26.6	28.4	37.1
David Deex	11.3	11.6	12.8
Linda Champion	10.9	11.4	14.6	16.9
Alvin Warren	6.7	7.1
Matilda Bawden	1.6

Sturt

James Stevens	43.1	43.2	43.2	43.2	43.5	43.9	44.1	44.6	47.5	50.5
Sonja Baram	30.7	30.7	30.8	30.8	31.0	31.1	31.4	31.7	32.8	49.5
Katie McCusker	16.4	16.4	16.6	16.6	16.9	17.0	17.8	18.1	19.7
Stephen Grant	2.7	2.7	2.7	2.9	2.9	3.1	3.4	5.6
Alexander Allwood	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.8	2.9	3.1	3.3
David Sherlock	1.4	1.4	1.4	1.5	1.6	1.7
Thomas McMahon	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.2	1.3
Inty Elham	0.9	0.9	0.9	1.0
Kathy Scarborough	0.7	0.7	0.7
Angela Fulco	0.4	0.4
Chris Schmidt	0.2

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Tasmania


Bass

Bridget Archer	39.7	40.1	40.2	40.5	41.6	43.4	47.5	51.4
Ross Hart	28.6	28.7	28.9	29.1	30.1	31.5	35.6	48.6
Cecily Rosol	11.1	11.1	11.5	11.6	12.7	13.3	16.9
Bob Salt	6.7	6.8	7.0	7.3	8.9	11.8
George Razay	5.0	5.1	5.3	5.6
Melanie Davy	4.7	4.9	5.1	6.0	6.6
Kyle Squibb	1.7	1.8	1.9
Alison Baker	1.4	1.5
Stephen Humble	1.1

Braddon

Gavin Pearce	44.1	44.1	44.3	44.7	45.0	46.2	47.5	50.2	58.0
Chris Lynch	22.5	22.6	22.8	22.9	23.0	23.3	26.9	30.5	42.0
Sophie Lehmann	9.9	10.1	10.2	10.5	10.8	11.8	13.1	19.2
Craig Garland	7.8	8.0	8.3	8.4	8.7	10.7	12.6
Darren Briggs	6.7	6.9	7.1	7.1	7.2	8.0
Ludo Mineur	4.3	4.4	4.4	4.7	5.4
Darren Bobbermien	1.4	1.4	1.5	1.7
Duncan White	1.4	1.4	1.4
Scott Rankin	1.0	1.1
Keone Martin	0.8

Clark

Andrew Wilkie	45.5	45.7	46.1	46.6	48.2	57.4	70.8
Simon Davis	18.8	18.9	19.1	19.2	20.2	24.7	29.2	67.2
Will Coats	15.8	16.3	16.3	16.5	17.3	17.9		32.8
Janet Shelley	13.4	13.5	13.8	14.0	14.3
Michelle Cameron	2.6	2.8	2.9	3.6
Sandra Galloway	1.4	1.6	1.8
Casey Davies	1.3	1.3
Ian Ramsden	1.1

Franklin

Julie Collins	36.7	36.9	37.0	37.4	37.8	39.8	43.5	63.7
Kristy Johnson	26.7	26.9	27.2	28.0	28.9	29.8	33.2	36.3
Jade Darko	17.4	17.9	18.0	18.1	18.3	20.5	23.3
Chris Hannan	5.9	6.1	6.4	6.7	8.0	10.0
Anna Bateman	5.0	5.2	5.4	5.7	7.0
Steve Hindley	2.9	2.9	3.6	4.1
Duane Pitt	2.0	2.0	2.3
Lisa Matthews	1.9	2.0
Katrina Love	1.5

Lyons

Susie Bower	37.2	37.9	38.2	38.6	40.4	41.5	49.1
Brian Mitchell	29.0	29.2	29.5	29.9	30.8	38.2	50.9
Liz Johnstone	11.4	11.5	12.0	12.2	12.9
Troy Pfitzner	10.9	11.0	11.4	12.2	15.8	20.2
Emma Goyne	5.4	5.6	5.8	7.1
Jason Evans	2.7	2.9	3.2
Anna Gralton	1.8	1.9
Rhys Griffiths	1.6

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Labor
Liberal / Liberal National (Qld) / Country Liberal (NT)
National
Greens
One Nation
United Australia
Liberal Democrats
Animal Justice
Federation
Katter's Australian
Centre Alliance
Western Australia
Great Australian
Victorian Socialists
Informed Medical Options
Jacqui Lambie Network
Christians
Shooters, Fishers and Farmers
Fusion
Socialist Alliance
Indigenous-Aboriginal
Derryn Hinch's Justice
TNL
Legalise Cannabis
Australian Values
Citizens
Local
Sustainable Australia
Drew Pavlou Democratic
Reason
Progressives
Democrats
Independents


Northern Territory


Lingiari

Marion Scrymgour	36.6	36.6	36.7	37.2	38.0	38.7	40.7	50.9
Damien Ryan	34.7	34.7	35.0	35.4	36.9	38.2	43.7	49.1
Blair McFarland	11.0	11.0	11.2	11.9	12.4	13.3	15.6
Tim Gallard	5.4	5.5	5.5	6.1	7.3	9.8
George Kasparek	4.3	4.3	4.4	4.6
Allan McLeod	4.1	4.1	4.4	4.8	5.4
Michael Gravener	2.1	2.7	2.9
Thong Sum Lee	1.1	1.1
Imelda Adamson Agars	0.9

Solomon

Luke Gosling	39.5	40.0	41.0	44.0	59.4
Tina Macfarlane	25.0	25.5	28.0	35.8	40.6
Aiya Goodrich Carttling	14.8	15.3	16.7	20.2
Kylie Bonanni	10.6	11.3	14.4
Emily Lohse	5.3	7.8
Tayla Selfe	4.8

Australian Capital Territory


Bean

David Smith	41.7	42.0	43.0	46.5	62.9
Jane Hiatt	29.7	30.2	31.6	34.3	37.1
Kathryn Savery	14.8	14.9	15.2	19.2
Jamie Christie	8.2	8.6	10.2
Sean Conway	2.9	4.3
Benjamin Ambard	2.7

Canberra

Alicia Payne	44.9	45.0	45.2	47.1	62.2	72.5
Tim Hollo	24.7	24.8	24.9	27.5	37.8
Slade Minson	21.8	22.1	23.0	25.3		27.5
Tim Bohm	5.2	5.4	6.8
Catherine Smith	1.8	2.8
James Miles	1.7

Fenner

Andrew Leigh	48.3	48.6	49.0	49.9	65.7
Nathan Kuster	27.8	28.6	29.1	31.6	34.3
Natasa Sojic	16.8	17.0	17.4	18.6
Lucia Grant	2.7	2.9	4.5
Timothy Elton	2.6	2.8
Guy Jakeman	1.9

[AustralianSwingVoter]

A little late but I've been busy with rl stuff. There’s quite a bit of interesting stuff to find when you dig through these distributions. The transfers between UAP and One Nation are remarkably strong, over 65% in some eliminations. This is very detrimental to the Greens who’ve done awfully on transfers. There’s maybe two dozen seats where Greens fall behind a lower candidate in the distribution and are eliminated.