NH Senate: St Anselm Poll. Hassan 43 Bolduc 36

[Minnesota Mike]

https://twitter.com/AdamSextonWMUR/status/1483933236132777985

[Minnesota Mike]

Hassan: 41%
Morse: 27%
Someone Else: 17%

[SnowLabrador]

Hopefully this is a sign that the national environment may be improving for Democrats. But that's a lot of undecideds...

[KaiserDave]

Hassan is absolutely the safest of Kelly/Masto/Warnock and it's not even close. It's also very predictable. New Hampshire is more democratic than Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia!

[kwabbit]

Hassan is absolutely the safest of Kelly/Masto/Warnock and it's not even close. It's also very predictable. New Hampshire is more democratic than Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia!

Quick question? Why does your avatar change between NYC and Vermont? Do you have a home in Vermont as well as New York?

[kwabbit]

Bolduc and Morse aren’t winners for the GOP, but this poll has way too many undecideds. 32% undecideds makes me think that voters weren’t pushed and may not have even been informed that Morse was the Republican.

[Pericles]

43% for an incumbent is usually a bad result, but this might just be a junk poll with too many undecideds. Does it give any other results like Biden approval?

[Xing]

Way too many undecideds. Hassan isn't safe.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

This is a good poll for Hassan, taking into account everything.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I told you about those Civiq and 35 percent polls I'd Civiq was right Hassan would be at 35 percent but she's not she's at 43

Biden polls are improving

[Brother Jonathan]

43% for an incumbent is usually a bad result, but this might just be a junk poll with too many undecideds. Does it give any other results like Biden approval?

It has Biden's approval at 41%, disapproval at 58%. Full results here: https://www.anselm.edu/sites/default/files/Documents/NHIOP/Polls/SACSC_NHSW_0122_%202_0.pdf

Hassan has slightly better numbers, 45% approve and 51% disapprove

[MT Treasurer]

Hassan is absolutely the safest of Kelly/Masto/Warnock and it's not even close. It's also very predictable. New Hampshire is more democratic than Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia!

Remember when Atlas spent more than half a year writing weak incumbent Maggie Hassan's obituary and reminding us that she was "easily" more vulnerable than Kelly and Cortez Masto? Pepperidge Farm remembers.

She is not entirely safe (her reelect-% stuck in the mid-40s and close to Biden's approval-% & her disapproval rating at 51% should make it clear to Democrats that they cannot take this race for granted), but NH was never more likely to flip than NV and AZ.

[Roll Roons]

Hassan is absolutely the safest of Kelly/Masto/Warnock and it's not even close. It's also very predictable. New Hampshire is more democratic than Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia!

Remember when Atlas spent more than half a year writing weak incumbent Maggie Hassan's obituary and reminding us that she was "easily" more vulnerable than Kelly and Cortez Masto? Pepperidge Farm remembers.

She is not entirely safe (her reelect-% stuck in the mid-40s and close to Biden's approval-% & her disapproval rating at 51% should make it clear to Democrats that they cannot take this race for granted), but NH was never more likely to flip than NV and AZ.

TBF, that was when virtually everyone thought Sununu was likely to run.

[MT Treasurer]

Hassan is absolutely the safest of Kelly/Masto/Warnock and it's not even close. It's also very predictable. New Hampshire is more democratic than Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia!

Remember when Atlas spent more than half a year writing weak incumbent Maggie Hassan's obituary and reminding us that she was "easily" more vulnerable than Kelly and Cortez Masto? Pepperidge Farm remembers.

She is not entirely safe (her reelect-% stuck in the mid-40s and close to Biden's approval-% & her disapproval rating at 51% should make it clear to Democrats that they cannot take this race for granted), but NH was never more likely to flip than NV and AZ.

TBF, that was when virtually everyone thought Sununu was likely to run.

Well, that would have made the race more competitive, yes, but I don’t think it would have moved it that far to the right, especially given federal race dynamics and the sharp decline in Sununu's approval numbers (which, to be fair, hadn’t yet been evident/notable back then).

I don’t think NH being slightly more winnable than GA (with Sununu or even Ayotte as the R nominee) was really that unreasonable a take, though. Even now, I don’t expect Hassan to do any better than Shaheen 2014 on a night when Republicans are flipping GA-SEN without a runoff.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

This is just because Bolduc has low name recognition. Hassan is at 43 of course she's extremely vulnerable

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Did this poll actually include a “someone else” option?
That seems like a very bad practice.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Morse who is more moderate polls much WORSE than Bolduc. This is about NAME RECOGNITION