Map if race is Biden vs DeSantis w/ Trump running as an independent (user search)
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  Map if race is Biden vs DeSantis w/ Trump running as an independent (search mode)
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Author Topic: Map if race is Biden vs DeSantis w/ Trump running as an independent  (Read 1721 times)
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« on: January 19, 2022, 04:02:14 PM »
Quote from: WB #NoToJo on January 19, 2022, 03:41:45 PM
Massive L for DeSantis. Even if Biden isn't popular, with Trump likely taking upwards of 10% it wouldn't be much of a contest.
While Trump getting upwards of 10% is extremely unlikely, in the event that he does, Biden is basically a lock for re-election, full stop.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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Posts: 41,370
United States


« Reply #1 on: January 20, 2022, 03:56:29 PM »
Quote from: Redban on January 20, 2022, 01:07:26 PM
Quote from: Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil on January 19, 2022, 04:02:14 PM
Quote from: WB #NoToJo on January 19, 2022, 03:41:45 PM
Massive L for DeSantis. Even if Biden isn't popular, with Trump likely taking upwards of 10% it wouldn't be much of a contest.
While Trump getting upwards of 10% is extremely unlikely, in the event that he does, Biden is basically a lock for re-election, full stop.

If Trump could hypothetically get the resources to run as an independent (unlikely, he isn't that rich), he would get over 10% easily: he has a rabid group of supporters who like him more than the Republican brand. Wasn't there even talk about Trump starting a new political party? He would eat into DeSantis's share, giving Biden a layup win
Most of those supporters are plugged into the national GOP camp at this point and strongly, strongly driven by anti-Dem tribal feelings. The GOP can argue that it'd split the vote. They could probably squeeze enough of that vote out that Trump would get less than 10%.
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