https://www.umass.edu/news/article/new-umass-amherst-poll-election-reforms-shows-continued-national-support-expanding DEC 14-20, 2021
Trump 55%DeSantis 20%
Haley 7%
Pence 6%
Cruz 6%
T. Scott 4%
Pompeo 2%
Biden 40%Sanders 18%
Harris 10%
Warren 10%
Buttigieg 9%
Ocasio-Cortez 7%
H. Clinton 6%
Eyeing 2024, President Joe Biden was the first choice of the plurality (40%) of Democratic voters, while Sen. Bernie Sanders was the top choice of 18% and the second choice of 13% of Democrats. Vice President Kamala Harris (10%) Sen. Elizabeth Warren (10%) and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg (9%) round out Democrats’ top-five choices. When the poll offered a ranked-choice option, Harris was the second choice of one-quarter of the Democratic respondents.
Former President Donald Trump still dominates the GOP ticket as the preferred candidate of 55% of Republicans for 2024. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is the only other potential 2024 candidate who drew double-digit support, as 20% of respondents named him their top choice for the race to the White House. DeSantis was also the top second choice, as 37% named him their second choice for the party’s nomination, while Trump was the second choice of only 13% of Republicans surveyed.
“At present, Donald Trump remains the clear favorite among Republicans for the 2024 presidential nomination,” Rhodes says. “However, Ron DeSantis enjoys considerable support, and may well give Trump a run for the nomination, especially given how much baggage Trump carries with moderates, independents and swing voters.”
“Despite Trump being limited to one more term as president and being a two-time popular vote loser, the majority of the Republican electorate seems to favor him being the GOP standard bearer in 2024,” Theodoridis says. “More than half list him as their first choice and three out of four Republicans have him in their top three. There is every reason to believe Trump’s decision to run or not will dictate the shape of the Republican field heading into 2024.”
