How would the previous hypothetical congressional district vote?

[GregTheGreat657]

Population: 760,000 (+11.3% from 2010)
Density: 1,043/sq. mi
Demographics: 64% White, 14% Hispanic, 11% Asian, 10% Black
Median Household Income: $102k
Occupations: 74% White Collar, 14% Blue-Collar, 11% Gray-Collar
Population Distribution: 92% Urban, 8% Rural

The district is located in the suburbs of a major Sun-Belt city.

[morgieb]

Narrowly Trump, will likely vote Dem soon enough. Was about 65%+ Romney, and probably well over 70% for Bush.

Population: 742,229
Demographics: 75% White, 16% Hispanic, 3% Black, 2% Asian
MHI: $78k
Occupation: 43% White Collar, 32% Blue Collar, 25% Grey Collar
Population Distribution: 95% Urban, 5% Rural

Northeastern suburbs/exurbs

[GregTheGreat657]

Narrowly Trump, will likely vote Dem soon enough. Was about 65%+ Romney, and probably well over 70% for Bush.

Population: 742,229
Demographics: 75% White, 16% Hispanic, 3% Black, 2% Asian
MHI: $78k
Occupation: 43% White Collar, 32% Blue Collar, 25% Grey Collar
Population Distribution: 95% Urban, 5% Rural

Northeastern suburbs/exurbs

It probably went Trump by about 10 points but trended left, but trended right in 2016 and voted more strongly for Trump in 2020 than Romney (though not either of the Bush elections)

Population: 756,263
Density: 1,223/sq. mi
Demographics: 61% White, 24% Black, 11% Hispanic, 3% Asian
MHI: $53k
Occupation: 56% White Collar, 30% Blue Collar, 14% Gray Collar
Population Distribution: 97% Urban, 3% Rural

[Schiff for Senate]

Narrowly Trump, will likely vote Dem soon enough. Was about 65%+ Romney, and probably well over 70% for Bush.

Population: 742,229
Demographics: 75% White, 16% Hispanic, 3% Black, 2% Asian
MHI: $78k
Occupation: 43% White Collar, 32% Blue Collar, 25% Grey Collar
Population Distribution: 95% Urban, 5% Rural

Northeastern suburbs/exurbs

It probably went Trump by about 10 points but trended left, but trended right in 2016 and voted more strongly for Trump in 2020 than Romney (though not either of the Bush elections)

Population: 756,263
Density: 1,223/sq. mi
Demographics: 61% White, 24% Black, 11% Hispanic, 3% Asian
MHI: $53k
Occupation: 56% White Collar, 30% Blue Collar, 14% Gray Collar
Population Distribution: 97% Urban, 3% Rural

Definitely blue, though it probably hasn't trended much to the left (and might have actually trended somewhat rightward) in the Trump years.

Population (2010): 732,120
Area: Roughly the size of the IN-01
Demographics: 64% white; 17% Hispanic; 8% black; 7% Asian; 4% other/mixed
Occupation: 46% white collar; 29% blue collar; 25% grey collar
MHI: $66,000
Population Distribution: 85% urban, 15% rural
2010-2020 Growth: 12%
Largest City Population (2010): 226,000
Largest City 2010-2020 Growth: 14%

[GregTheGreat657]

Narrowly Trump, will likely vote Dem soon enough. Was about 65%+ Romney, and probably well over 70% for Bush.

Population: 742,229
Demographics: 75% White, 16% Hispanic, 3% Black, 2% Asian
MHI: $78k
Occupation: 43% White Collar, 32% Blue Collar, 25% Grey Collar
Population Distribution: 95% Urban, 5% Rural

Northeastern suburbs/exurbs

It probably went Trump by about 10 points but trended left, but trended right in 2016 and voted more strongly for Trump in 2020 than Romney (though not either of the Bush elections)

Population: 756,263
Density: 1,223/sq. mi
Demographics: 61% White, 24% Black, 11% Hispanic, 3% Asian
MHI: $53k
Occupation: 56% White Collar, 30% Blue Collar, 14% Gray Collar
Population Distribution: 97% Urban, 3% Rural

Definitely blue, though it probably hasn't trended much to the left (and might have actually trended somewhat rightward) in the Trump years.

Population (2010): 732,120
Area: Roughly the size of the IN-01
Demographics: 64% white; 17% Hispanic; 8% black; 7% Asian; 4% other/mixed
Occupation: 46% white collar; 29% blue collar; 25% grey collar
MHI: $66,000
Population Distribution: 85% urban, 15% rural
2010-2020 Growth: 12%
Largest City Population (2010): 226,000
Largest City 2010-2020 Growth: 14%

Lean/Likely Democratic, and probably trended somewhat right in the Trump era

Population (2020): 697,087
Density: 88/sq. mi
Demographics: 83% White, 8% Hispanic, 4% Black, 2% Asian, 3% Other/Mixed
MHI: $66k
Bachelor's+ rate: 31%
Population Distribution: 37% urban

[Schiff for Senate]

Narrowly Trump, will likely vote Dem soon enough. Was about 65%+ Romney, and probably well over 70% for Bush.

Population: 742,229
Demographics: 75% White, 16% Hispanic, 3% Black, 2% Asian
MHI: $78k
Occupation: 43% White Collar, 32% Blue Collar, 25% Grey Collar
Population Distribution: 95% Urban, 5% Rural

Northeastern suburbs/exurbs

It probably went Trump by about 10 points but trended left, but trended right in 2016 and voted more strongly for Trump in 2020 than Romney (though not either of the Bush elections)

Population: 756,263
Density: 1,223/sq. mi
Demographics: 61% White, 24% Black, 11% Hispanic, 3% Asian
MHI: $53k
Occupation: 56% White Collar, 30% Blue Collar, 14% Gray Collar
Population Distribution: 97% Urban, 3% Rural

Definitely blue, though it probably hasn't trended much to the left (and might have actually trended somewhat rightward) in the Trump years.

Population (2010): 732,120
Area: Roughly the size of the IN-01
Demographics: 64% white; 17% Hispanic; 8% black; 7% Asian; 4% other/mixed
Occupation: 46% white collar; 29% blue collar; 25% grey collar
MHI: $66,000
Population Distribution: 85% urban, 15% rural
2010-2020 Growth: 12%
Largest City Population (2010): 226,000
Largest City 2010-2020 Growth: 14%

Lean/Likely Democratic, and probably trended somewhat right in the Trump era

Population (2020): 697,087
Density: 88/sq. mi
Demographics: 83% White, 8% Hispanic, 4% Black, 2% Asian, 3% Other/Mixed
MHI: $66k
Bachelor's+ rate: 31%
Population Distribution: 37% urban

Right-wing and has trended Republican during the Trump era.

POPULATION (2020): 756,023
DENSITY: 117 people a square mile
DEMOGRAPHICS: 57% white, 18% Hispanic, 15% black, 6% Asian
MHI: $58,000
BACHELOR'S+: 33%
POPULATION DISTRIBUTION: 63% urban, 37% rural
2010-2020 GROWTH: 6.0%
LARGEST CITY POP. (2020): If looking at entire city, including portions outside district - 161,672 (city split between districts; the number of people in this district's portion of the city is 76,630) If looking only at portions of city within district - 133,005 (entire city located in district)
LARGEST CITY 2010-2020 GROWTH: Of city partially in district, 19.4%; of city entirely in district, 12.1%

[GregTheGreat657]

Narrowly Trump, will likely vote Dem soon enough. Was about 65%+ Romney, and probably well over 70% for Bush.

Population: 742,229
Demographics: 75% White, 16% Hispanic, 3% Black, 2% Asian
MHI: $78k
Occupation: 43% White Collar, 32% Blue Collar, 25% Grey Collar
Population Distribution: 95% Urban, 5% Rural

Northeastern suburbs/exurbs

It probably went Trump by about 10 points but trended left, but trended right in 2016 and voted more strongly for Trump in 2020 than Romney (though not either of the Bush elections)

Population: 756,263
Density: 1,223/sq. mi
Demographics: 61% White, 24% Black, 11% Hispanic, 3% Asian
MHI: $53k
Occupation: 56% White Collar, 30% Blue Collar, 14% Gray Collar
Population Distribution: 97% Urban, 3% Rural

Definitely blue, though it probably hasn't trended much to the left (and might have actually trended somewhat rightward) in the Trump years.

Population (2010): 732,120
Area: Roughly the size of the IN-01
Demographics: 64% white; 17% Hispanic; 8% black; 7% Asian; 4% other/mixed
Occupation: 46% white collar; 29% blue collar; 25% grey collar
MHI: $66,000
Population Distribution: 85% urban, 15% rural
2010-2020 Growth: 12%
Largest City Population (2010): 226,000
Largest City 2010-2020 Growth: 14%

Lean/Likely Democratic, and probably trended somewhat right in the Trump era

Population (2020): 697,087
Density: 88/sq. mi
Demographics: 83% White, 8% Hispanic, 4% Black, 2% Asian, 3% Other/Mixed
MHI: $66k
Bachelor's+ rate: 31%
Population Distribution: 37% urban

Right-wing and has trended Republican during the Trump era.

POPULATION (2020): 756,023
DENSITY: 117 people a square mile
DEMOGRAPHICS: 57% white, 18% Hispanic, 15% black, 6% Asian
MHI: $58,000
BACHELOR'S+: 33%
POPULATION DISTRIBUTION: 63% urban, 37% rural
2010-2020 GROWTH: 6.0%
LARGEST CITY POP. (2020): If looking at entire city, including portions outside district - 161,672 (city split between districts; the number of people in this district's portion of the city is 76,630) If looking only at portions of city within district - 133,005 (entire city located in district)
LARGEST CITY 2010-2020 GROWTH: Of city partially in district, 19.4%; of city entirely in district, 12.1%

Votes D in D-favorable years, and R in neutral/R-favorable years

My district was the old NY-19, which voted for Obama by 6, Trump by 7, and Biden by 1.5

Population (2020): 793,324
Density: 4,895/sq. mi
Demographics: 40% White, 31% Hispanic, 15% Black, 11% Asian, 3% Other/Mixed
MHI: $75k
Bachelor's+ rate: 50%
Population Distribution: 99.99% urban

[GregTheGreat657]

Narrowly Trump, will likely vote Dem soon enough. Was about 65%+ Romney, and probably well over 70% for Bush.

Population: 742,229
Demographics: 75% White, 16% Hispanic, 3% Black, 2% Asian
MHI: $78k
Occupation: 43% White Collar, 32% Blue Collar, 25% Grey Collar
Population Distribution: 95% Urban, 5% Rural

Northeastern suburbs/exurbs

It probably went Trump by about 10 points but trended left, but trended right in 2016 and voted more strongly for Trump in 2020 than Romney (though not either of the Bush elections)

Population: 756,263
Density: 1,223/sq. mi
Demographics: 61% White, 24% Black, 11% Hispanic, 3% Asian
MHI: $53k
Occupation: 56% White Collar, 30% Blue Collar, 14% Gray Collar
Population Distribution: 97% Urban, 3% Rural

Definitely blue, though it probably hasn't trended much to the left (and might have actually trended somewhat rightward) in the Trump years.

Population (2010): 732,120
Area: Roughly the size of the IN-01
Demographics: 64% white; 17% Hispanic; 8% black; 7% Asian; 4% other/mixed
Occupation: 46% white collar; 29% blue collar; 25% grey collar
MHI: $66,000
Population Distribution: 85% urban, 15% rural
2010-2020 Growth: 12%
Largest City Population (2010): 226,000
Largest City 2010-2020 Growth: 14%

Lean/Likely Democratic, and probably trended somewhat right in the Trump era

Population (2020): 697,087
Density: 88/sq. mi
Demographics: 83% White, 8% Hispanic, 4% Black, 2% Asian, 3% Other/Mixed
MHI: $66k
Bachelor's+ rate: 31%
Population Distribution: 37% urban

Right-wing and has trended Republican during the Trump era.

POPULATION (2020): 756,023
DENSITY: 117 people a square mile
DEMOGRAPHICS: 57% white, 18% Hispanic, 15% black, 6% Asian
MHI: $58,000
BACHELOR'S+: 33%
POPULATION DISTRIBUTION: 63% urban, 37% rural
2010-2020 GROWTH: 6.0%
LARGEST CITY POP. (2020): If looking at entire city, including portions outside district - 161,672 (city split between districts; the number of people in this district's portion of the city is 76,630) If looking only at portions of city within district - 133,005 (entire city located in district)
LARGEST CITY 2010-2020 GROWTH: Of city partially in district, 19.4%; of city entirely in district, 12.1%

Votes D in D-favorable years, and R in neutral/R-favorable years

My district was the old NY-19, which voted for Obama by 6, Trump by 7, and Biden by 1.5

Population (2020): 793,324
Density: 4,895/sq. mi
Demographics: 40% White, 31% Hispanic, 15% Black, 11% Asian, 3% Other/Mixed
MHI: $75k
Bachelor's+ rate: 50%
Population Distribution: 99.99% urban

Safe D, with a PVI around D+30. Trended a bit to the right in 2020, but still overwhelmingly went for Biden, like a lot of similar districts in NYC and California.

Population (2020): 714,679
Density: 1,407/sq. mi
Demographics: 55.3% White, 32.3% Black, 4.8% Hispanic, 3.8% Asian, 3.8% Other/Mixed
MHI: $56k
Bachelor's+ rate: 28.0%
Population distribution: 80.12% urban, 19.88% rural
Description: This district is located in a Rust Belt state, and is centered around a city with 285k people in its city limits and 529k people in its metropolitan area. The remainder of the district is comprised of rural areas, as well as two micropolitan areas of less than 30k people each.

My district was the old TX-07, which has a Cook PVI of D+1, and voted for Romney by 21 in 2012, Clinton by 2 in 2016, and Biden by 9 in 2020.

I'd guess that your district has Cook PVI of D + 7-9.

Population (2020): 1,011,968
Density: 4,224/sq. mi
Demographics: 32% White, 33% Hispanic, 2% Black, 30% Asian, 3% Mixed/Other
MHI: $91k
Bachelor's+ rate: 56%

[Del Tachi]

Above district sounds pretty similar to GA-07, so I'm guessing it zoomed towards the Democrats under Trump and isn't going back anytime soon

My district:

Population:  694,480 (-2.0% from 2010)
Density:  85.8/mi2
Demographics:  46% White, 44% Black, 8% Hispanic, 1% Asian
Economy:  Historically agricultural, but most jobs are now centered in a handful of growing, small cities and towns.  A major state university is located here. 
MHI:  $43,211
Population distribution:  62% Urban, 32% Rural

Location:  Deep South

[Schiff for Senate]

Above district sounds pretty similar to GA-07, so I'm guessing it zoomed towards the Democrats under Trump and isn't going back anytime soon

My district:

Population:  694,480 (-2.0% from 2010)
Density:  85.8/mi2
Demographics:  46% White, 44% Black, 8% Hispanic, 1% Asian
Economy:  Historically agricultural, but most jobs are now centered in a handful of growing, small cities and towns.  A major state university is located here.  
MHI:  $43,211
Population distribution:  62% Urban, 32% Rural

Location:  Deep South

Not demographically at least. IIRC, GA07 is a lot more than 32% white, a lot less than 33% Hispanic, and much more than 2% black.

Anyway, as for your district, has voted only Democratic for a long time. It trended rightward in 2020, but still backed Biden by a decent if somewhat narrow margin. As for margins, I'd expect Obama won it by low double digits in 2012, and Clinton and Biden won it by about 2-5 points.

POPULATION (2020): 809,737
POPULATION (2010): 746,996
DENSITY (2020): 119 people a square mile
DENSITY (2010): 110 people a square mile
DEMOGRAPHICS (2020): 77% white, 13% Hispanic, 6% black
DEMOGRAPHICS (2010): 83% white, 8% Hispanic, 4% black
DISTRIBUTION (2020): 19% live in places with a population of over 70,000; 65% live in places with a population between 35,000 and 70,000; 16% live in places with a population of under 35,000
DISTRIBUTION (2010): 21% live in places with a population of over 70,000; 59% live in places with a population between 35,000 and 70,000; 20% live in places with a population of under 35,000
GROWTH 2010-2020: 8.4%
LARGEST CITY POP. (2020): If looking at entire city, including portions outside district - 410,000 (city split between districts; the number of people in this district's portion of the city is 30,000); If looking only at portions of city within district - 110,000
LARGEST CITY POP. (2010): If looking at entire city, including portions outside district - 350,000 (city split between districts; the number of people in this district's portion of the city is 25,000); If looking only at portions of city within district - 100,000
ECONOMY (2020): 29% white collar; 29% blue collar; 42% gray collar
ECONOMY (2010): 30% white collar; 35% blue collar; 35% gray collar
EDUCATION (2020): High school diploma - 91%; Bachelor's+ - 33%
EDUCATION (2010): High school diploma - 88%; Bachelor's+ - 27%
EAST OR WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER: East
NORTH OR SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER: North
MHI (2020): $61,000 a year
MHI (2010): $56,000 a year
GAP BETWEEN THE RICHEST 1/3 AND POOREST 1/3 (2020): Higher than in 63% of districts
GAP BETWEEN THE RICHEST 1/3 AND POOREST 1/3 (2010): Higher than in 68% of districts

[GregTheGreat657]

Above district sounds pretty similar to GA-07, so I'm guessing it zoomed towards the Democrats under Trump and isn't going back anytime soon

My district:

Population:  694,480 (-2.0% from 2010)
Density:  85.8/mi2
Demographics:  46% White, 44% Black, 8% Hispanic, 1% Asian
Economy:  Historically agricultural, but most jobs are now centered in a handful of growing, small cities and towns.  A major state university is located here.  
MHI:  $43,211
Population distribution:  62% Urban, 32% Rural

Location:  Deep South

Not demographically at least. IIRC, GA07 is a lot more than 32% white, a lot less than 33% Hispanic, and much more than 2% black.

Anyway, as for your district, has voted only Democratic for a long time. It trended rightward in 2020, but still backed Biden by a decent if somewhat narrow margin. As for margins, I'd expect Obama won it by low double digits in 2012, and Clinton and Biden won it by about 2-5 points.

POPULATION (2020): 809,737
POPULATION (2010): 746,996
DENSITY (2020): 119 people a square mile
DENSITY (2010): 110 people a square mile
DEMOGRAPHICS (2020): 77% white, 13% Hispanic, 6% black
DEMOGRAPHICS (2010): 83% white, 8% Hispanic, 4% black
DISTRIBUTION (2020): 19% live in places with a population of over 70,000; 65% live in places with a population between 35,000 and 70,000; 16% live in places with a population of under 35,000
DISTRIBUTION (2010): 21% live in places with a population of over 70,000; 59% live in places with a population between 35,000 and 70,000; 20% live in places with a population of under 35,000
GROWTH 2010-2020: 8.4%
LARGEST CITY POP. (2020): If looking at entire city, including portions outside district - 410,000 (city split between districts; the number of people in this district's portion of the city is 30,000); If looking only at portions of city within district - 110,000
LARGEST CITY POP. (2010): If looking at entire city, including portions outside district - 350,000 (city split between districts; the number of people in this district's portion of the city is 25,000); If looking only at portions of city within district - 100,000
ECONOMY (2020): 29% white collar; 29% blue collar; 42% gray collar
ECONOMY (2010): 30% white collar; 35% blue collar; 35% gray collar
EDUCATION (2020): High school diploma - 91%; Bachelor's+ - 33%
EDUCATION (2010): High school diploma - 88%; Bachelor's+ - 27%
EAST OR WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER: East
NORTH OR SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER: North
MHI (2020): $61,000 a year
MHI (2010): $56,000 a year
GAP BETWEEN THE RICHEST 1/3 AND POOREST 1/3 (2020): Higher than in 63% of districts
GAP BETWEEN THE RICHEST 1/3 AND POOREST 1/3 (2010): Higher than in 68% of districts

Leans Republican but is competitive in blue wave years

Population (2020): 813,504
Density: 47/sq. mi
Demographics: 83% White, 8% Hispanic, 2% Asian, 1% Black, 1% Native American, 4% Two+/Other
MHI: $54k
Bachelor's+ rate: 28%
Population Distribution: 69% Urban, 31% Rural

[GregTheGreat657]

Not demographically at least. IIRC, GA07 is a lot more than 32% white, a lot less than 33% Hispanic, and much more than 2% black.

Anyway, as for your district, has voted only Democratic for a long time. It trended rightward in 2020, but still backed Biden by a decent if somewhat narrow margin. As for margins, I'd expect Obama won it by low double digits in 2012, and Clinton and Biden won it by about 2-5 points.

POPULATION (2020): 809,737
POPULATION (2010): 746,996
DENSITY (2020): 119 people a square mile
DENSITY (2010): 110 people a square mile
DEMOGRAPHICS (2020): 77% white, 13% Hispanic, 6% black
DEMOGRAPHICS (2010): 83% white, 8% Hispanic, 4% black
DISTRIBUTION (2020): 19% live in places with a population of over 70,000; 65% live in places with a population between 35,000 and 70,000; 16% live in places with a population of under 35,000
DISTRIBUTION (2010): 21% live in places with a population of over 70,000; 59% live in places with a population between 35,000 and 70,000; 20% live in places with a population of under 35,000
GROWTH 2010-2020: 8.4%
LARGEST CITY POP. (2020): If looking at entire city, including portions outside district - 410,000 (city split between districts; the number of people in this district's portion of the city is 30,000); If looking only at portions of city within district - 110,000
LARGEST CITY POP. (2010): If looking at entire city, including portions outside district - 350,000 (city split between districts; the number of people in this district's portion of the city is 25,000); If looking only at portions of city within district - 100,000
ECONOMY (2020): 29% white collar; 29% blue collar; 42% gray collar
ECONOMY (2010): 30% white collar; 35% blue collar; 35% gray collar
EDUCATION (2020): High school diploma - 91%; Bachelor's+ - 33%
EDUCATION (2010): High school diploma - 88%; Bachelor's+ - 27%
EAST OR WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER: East
NORTH OR SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER: North
MHI (2020): $61,000 a year
MHI (2010): $56,000 a year
GAP BETWEEN THE RICHEST 1/3 AND POOREST 1/3 (2020): Higher than in 63% of districts
GAP BETWEEN THE RICHEST 1/3 AND POOREST 1/3 (2010): Higher than in 68% of districts

Leans Republican but is competitive in blue wave years

Population (2020): 813,504
Density: 47/sq. mi
Demographics: 83% White, 8% Hispanic, 2% Asian, 1% Black, 1% Native American, 4% Two+/Other
MHI: $54k
Bachelor's+ rate: 28%
Population Distribution: 69% Urban, 31% Rural

In most ways, this district reminds me of a more urbanized version of Montana. Going off that assumption, I'd say it's around R+4 to R+6, and probably went Atlas red in the 2018 wave only to flip back in 2020.

Population (2020): 757,120
Density: 125/sq. mi
Demographics: 45.2% White, 37.0% Hispanic, 10.7% Asian, 5.3% Black, 1.8% Other/Mixed
MHI: $65k
Bachelor's+ rate: 24.9%
Population distribution: 64.10% urban, 35.90% rural
Description: This district is located in a Western state. Roughly one third of the district, around 250k people, consists of a section of a coastal metropolitan area of around a million people. (The rest of that metropolitan area is its own district.) The remaining two thirds cross the sparsely populated mountains into the state's interior, which is predominately rural areas and micropolitan areas.

Leans Republican, but votes D in more D favorable environments

Population (2020): 670,958
Density: 103/sq. mi
Demographics: 90% White, 4% Hispanic, 1% Black, 3% Asian
MHI: $77k
Bachelor's+ rate: 37%
Population distribution: 51% urban, 49% rural