If the pandemic never happened what would the results have been?

[DPKdebator]

It's easy to reflexively say Trump would win, but really it depends on how the campaigns turn out and the state of the country and economy. While Biden was never going to be as disliked as Hillary was, his favorability numbers might've taken a hit during a normal campaign since he'd make many gaffes and get into spats with voters like he did in the early stages of the campaign, whereas with the pandemic his team could fall back on prepared statements and other virtual methods of campaigning. For all we know, some entirely different divisive culture wars issue could've sprung up that Trump would use to drum up base turnout. The pandemic changed so many things that it's more than a matter of just extrapolating where we were in late 2019 and early 2020.