Anyone else stunned at how far right Florida has shifted?

[Skill and Chance]

Somewhat surprised given Biden's PV margin, but it's basically been a Lean R state since the Solid South era ended.  Dems got too excited about it after 1996/2000.

It does look like it went from Lean to Likely R since 2018, but today's retirees are obviously more right-leaning than the very oldest who remember FDR. 

[Skill and Chance]

I will also add that not having Florida in play makes it harder for Democrats to do anything. Eventually they will have to win there again somehow unless Democrats get their act together in places like Texas, Montana, and Arizona.

IDK not being totally dependent on the biggest states is probably good for Dems in the long run for turning votes into actual control.

Softening up MT/AK/KS/NE over the medium run is a better bet than trying to win back FL.  I would still say NC is worth the effort, though.