Do all of Iowa’s House districts stay Republican the whole decade?
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  Do all of Iowa’s House districts stay Republican the whole decade?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: ?
#1
Yes		  
#2
No		  
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Total Voters: 16

Author Topic: Do all of Iowa’s House districts stay Republican the whole decade?  (Read 261 times)
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« on: December 28, 2021, 12:36:39 PM »
Do they?
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1 on: December 28, 2021, 12:58:55 PM »
Possible but unlikely. At the very least, IA-03 (the Des Moines seat) should remain perennially swingy.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #2 on: December 28, 2021, 01:00:00 PM »
Isn’t Axne favored to lose?
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #3 on: December 28, 2021, 01:00:16 PM »
Republicans will win all four next year, but I think the Des Moines-based district is more likely than not to flip back in a Republican President's midterm or if Democrats win one of the two presidential elections decisively. Could definitely see the other three staying R even in a D-leaning year, though.
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indietraveler
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« Reply #4 on: December 28, 2021, 01:08:26 PM »
No.

I think by the end of the decade the DSM district becomes more dem while the others trend R. Heading into the 2030s Polk county will become an even larger percentage of whatever district it ends up in so even beyond the 20s there will likely be one democratic based district.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #5 on: December 28, 2021, 01:08:50 PM »
Does Axne have a better chance of winning than a Democratic challenger does at beating Young Kim in CA-40?
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beesley
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« Reply #6 on: December 29, 2021, 11:38:51 AM »
No - specifically because of the Des Moines seat as mentioned.
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