Rate CA-41 for 2022
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Poll
Question: How will this newly-drawn district vote next year?
#1
Safe R		  
#2
Likely R		  
#3
Lean R		  
#4
Tossup		  
#5
Lean D		  
#6
Likely D		  
#7
Safe D		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 24

Author Topic: Rate CA-41 for 2022  (Read 841 times)
BoiseBoy
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E: -2.05, S: -1.13

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« on: December 21, 2021, 12:21:38 AM »


The new CA-41, which stretches from La Quinta, Palm Desert, and Palm Springs to west Riverside cities such as Corona, Norco, and Wildomar, is currently held by Republican Ken Calvert.

It voted for Trump by 1% in 2020, and Trump by 6% in 2016. Cox won it by 9.4% in 2018.

While I see it being an R hold in 2022, it definitely has a chance of flipping as soon as 2024.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #1 on: December 21, 2021, 12:22:47 AM »
Tossup
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BoiseBoy
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« Reply #2 on: December 21, 2021, 12:30:58 AM »
Fun fact: the headquarters for the Church of Scientology is located in this district. Under the old map, it was located in the strongly Democrat CA-36.
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Continential
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« Reply #3 on: December 21, 2021, 12:37:33 AM »
Likely R, given that no Democrat won it.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #4 on: December 21, 2021, 05:57:06 AM »
If that's indeed the district, Likely R.
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andjey
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« Reply #5 on: December 21, 2021, 08:45:51 AM »
Likely R in 2022, Tossup in 2024
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Pollster
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« Reply #6 on: December 21, 2021, 09:43:10 AM »
Likely R (closer to lean than safe) but Calvert is on borrowed time.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #7 on: December 21, 2021, 10:28:37 AM »
Likely R in 2022, but definitely a potential pick-up for Democrats in 2024 and beyond.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #8 on: December 21, 2021, 11:16:04 AM »
This is clickbait. This is CA-42.
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BoiseBoy
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« Reply #9 on: December 21, 2021, 11:43:37 AM »
« Edited: December 21, 2021, 11:54:25 AM by BoiseBoy »
The district is similar to the old CA-42 but officially it's designated as CA-41. The district now taking the CA-42 label stretches from Huntington Park/Bell/Bell Gardens etc. to Long Beach.
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Gracile
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« Reply #10 on: December 21, 2021, 11:47:28 AM »
Likely R for 2022, but it will be interesting to see how it moves in the next decade.
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beesley
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« Reply #11 on: December 29, 2021, 11:37:08 AM »
Likely R seems to be the consensus and it got my vote too.
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David Hume
davidhume
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« Reply #12 on: December 29, 2021, 12:00:49 PM »
I voted safe R. R performed very well down ballot + very senior incumbent + likely R wave year combined, it would be for hard for D to flip this seat.
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