IA — Finkenauer internal: Grassley +14

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/PollsandOdds/status/1472945604343050247?t=kN5cVh4DqGRUuq6ZpL...

[Lambsbread]

Welp, this is gonna be a bloodbath. Nothing to see here.

[Roll Roons]

Grassley should celebrate by going to the Windsor Heights Dairy Queen!

[UncleSam]

Ds best chance here is Grassley dying tbh

[beesley]

Besides the fact it's Iowa in a D midterm, the belief that Grassley's incumbency would not only cease to be of benefit but work against him as some people suggested is proving to be completely nonsensical, as was the idea that Finkenauer was really that strong a candidate.

[MT Treasurer]

Ernst favorability:

49% Favorable
46% Unfavorable

Yikes, how underwhelming — I see it why it took an unprecedented retail politicking blitz for her to win reelection in 2020. Time for her to get those numbers up with another one of these....



..and also rake it in for Grassley and the entire R ticket in the process.

Ds best chance here is Grassley dying tbh

"Ds best chance here" is still a 0% chance, so you should be glad that Grassley's running again. If he had retired, the Resistance/Twitterverse crowd and DSCC would have wasted an ungodly amount of cash on this race.

[Calthrina950]

Grassley is going to win another landslide, although this poll still does lend credence to the idea that it could be the weakest victory of his career, since he was first elected. This race is Safe R.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ds best chance here is Grassley dying tbh

Grassley jogs and yoga and so does Breyer if they should die they would have retired already

Scalia was healthy but he had sleep apnea but death from sleep apnea since then have been declining

Ginnaberg did yoga but she had colon cancer

[Brittain33]

The chance Grassley dies in the next 12 months (13%, pre-COVID actuarial tables) is literally the only probability that matters in this race.

[Sir Mohamed]

Safe R. Who would have thought?

[South Dakota Democrat]

https://twitter.com/PollsandOdds/status/1472945604343050247?t=kN5cVh4DqGRUuq6ZpL...

54+48=102

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Yikes, how underwhelming — I see it why it took an unprecedented retail politicking blitz for her to win reelection in 2020. Time for her to get those numbers up with another one of these....

why is Ernst unpopular?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This will get very competitive by Sept, it won't be a tossup but by Labor Day when Biden Approvals was at 50, Fink was within 7

Grassley isn't winning by 14 when all the other Rust belt states are gonna be competetive 49/42 bye Labor Day

[Skill and Chance]

LOL

[Unelectable Bystander]

LOL

Yes can somebody frame this for when it ends up 55-41 (at least)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

LOL

Yes can somebody frame this for when it ends up 55-41 (at least)

Biden Approvals are going up Fink says she will win it's wave insurance ANYWAYS, guess what Grassley won by Patty Judge 20 prs, I said bye Labor Day not now should Biden be at 50/48 like most IPSOS POLLS HAVE ALREADY AT  latest one 47/52 he will be at 50/48, not 41 percent, if IA is competetive we win OH, the two vote almost always alike

All the other polls are WRONG, what's wrong with these polls that have Biden at 41, Trump was at 41:because of 9 percent unemployment

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

This is part of a psyop released by TEAM FINKENARR to create the illusion she is losing and manipulate the political markets surrounding this race. DON’T BE FOOLED! I invested my entire life savings in soybean stocks and you should too, while they’re still cheap.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The end result is what matter not Jan polls we didn't win wave insurance seats in 2018 till October anyways

Ernst was ahead by the same amount in Jan 2020 and the race was competitive