NV - OnMessageInc: Heller +6

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/PollsandOdds/status/1470479623314186241?s=20

[President Johnson]

I don't think the margin will be this large, though Sisolak is certainly in a tough reelection battle.

[SnowLabrador]

It's gonna be ugly next November.

[Roll Roons]

Is Sisolak unpopular?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's an interactive polls D's will win NV, SISOLAK didn't win until the day of the Election and it was a blue wave in 2018 against Laxalt

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's gonna be ugly next November.

It's six pts cmon man,  it's Dec 21 not Midnight

[BigSerg]

Is Sisolak unpopular?

I wonder the same, all the polls have him losing by 6-9% vs Heller and +10 vs Lombardo

[SnowLabrador]

Is Sisolak unpopular?

I wonder the same, all the polls have him losing by 6-9% vs Heller and +10 vs Lombardo

To be fair, Sisolak does support the Electoral College, and vetoed the NPVIC. I'm not a big fan of him. Of course, if I lived in Nevada, I'd vote for him in a heartbeat.

[2016]

It's gonna be ugly next November.

According to recent Morning Consult Governor Ratings he is among the least popular Governors I believe!

Could 2022 be worse than Obama 2010 on the Governors Level Nationwide. They could lose NV, even NM, MI alongside KS and WI.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This lead isn't gonna hold up in NV

[MT Treasurer]

I highly doubt Sisolak was ever even really popular. He’s a very mediocre candidate who won his last race solely because of the national Democratic wave in a state which had been governed by R governors since 1998 and in which Republicans have a very high floor. Much like Evers or Whitmer (who, like Sisolak, are indistinguishable from generic liberal Democrats and similarly owe their wins to the overall national/state environment), Sisolak was always going to be in big trouble in an environment radically different from 2018. All of these states (NV/WI/MI) are shaping up to be ground zero for a GOP wave, so there’s nothing surprising about Sisolak trailing at this point.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I seriously doubt that this lead in NV holds up until Election day Biden in some polls are near 50 the exact number he won bye in 202050/45 that's all he needs to get the 304 map

If I was a betting man, I won't count punt out Nate Silver 304 blue wall

It's only 6 points a six or lead in not like TX, FL or OH

[Cyrusman]

Is Sisolak unpopular?

He enforced strict covid rules in a state that’s dependent on things being open. What do you think?

[Lief 🗽]

Both races here are Lean R at this point.

[2016]

Both races here are Lean R at this point.

I wouldn't say Lean R but definitly Toss Up. If Republicans are able to repeat making inroads in the Hispanic Community like they did in 2020 then Sisolak & CCM are in a very tough spot.

There are National Polls out showing Democrats TIED with Republicans with Hispanic Voters.

[TodayJunior]

Nevada consistently overestimates republicans chances. Although, after Virginia, I’m not holding my breath. Still a coin flip as Dems have a better ground game here.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Reid sympathy vote should give SISOLAK and cCM a better chance this poll was taken at the end of yr and Biden is at 39/55 percent IPSOS HAS HIM AT 50 NOT 39

Biden won't be at 39/55 on Election night

[ElectionsGuy]

Nevada consistently overestimates republicans chances. Although, after Virginia, I’m not holding my breath. Still a coin flip as Dems have a better ground game here.

NV Dems dumped the Reid machine in favor of DSA types in their last convention. To say they have a better ground game than VA, where D's haven't lost a statewide race since 2009, I don't think is accurate.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah polls in Jan are gonna be the final result in Nov 22 and Biden Approvals are on the incline not decline anymore, we lost VA Biden polls were on the decline due to the Debt Ceiling and arguing with fellow D's and Budget Shutdown and no infrastructure bill

BBB is gonna pass, I am not for it but the climate change but others need it