I say this because...
I think NJ's gubernatorial results will point to real trouble for the Democrats in the Philly suburbs.
Whitmer has an extremely energized Trump base against her.
I don't think Evers necessarily has those same problems to the same extent. Of course, Evers only won by one point in a blue wave year so he may well lose due to national environment alone but I honestly think Whitmer and Shapiro have bigger disadvantages working against them.
Tony Evers is less popular than Whitmer with a 45% approval rating and is in the bottom 4 governors in the nation tying with Governor I*e of Hawaii. The Trump base in WI is just as energized as in Michigan with Whitmer.
