How Oregon would vote like if their rural areas votes like Missouri's

[OSR stands with Israel]

For example in Oregon using Fox's data(who did exit polls in every state):

https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/voter-analysis?state=OR


If Trump won rural areas and small towns in Oregon by 50 points(so 74-24), Trump would have actually won Oregon

Trump: 49.28%
Biden: 48.88%

[Skill and Chance]

It's a possible Dem vulnerability in the long run.  I think there's enough resorty areas in rural Oregon to keep it from getting quite that lopsided?

[NOVA Green]

Don't get what you are saying...

Poorly defined statement based upon a hypothetical, stacked upon other random elements, to the point that this is essentially a bunch of random drivel.

Please define and clarify your argument and what it really is that you are trying to state...

--- Confused in Oregon

[Xing]

Sure, though rural areas in Missouri vote to the right of the country. The flip side is that if rural areas in Missouri voted like rural areas in New Hampshire, it’d be a swing state at best for Republicans and likely a Democratic-leaning state.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Don't get what you are saying...

Poorly defined statement based upon a hypothetical, stacked upon other random elements, to the point that this is essentially a bunch of random drivel.

Please define and clarify your argument and what it really is that you are trying to state...

--- Confused in Oregon

Two things I’m trying to convey :


1. Why democrats can’t afford to completely ignore rural/small town America

2. A potential pathway for Oregon republicans to win gubernatorial race (get to Knute margins in the burbs + 30 in the rurals  May do it )

[Xing]

Don't get what you are saying...

Poorly defined statement based upon a hypothetical, stacked upon other random elements, to the point that this is essentially a bunch of random drivel.

Please define and clarify your argument and what it really is that you are trying to state...

--- Confused in Oregon

Two things I’m trying to convey :


1. Why democrats can’t afford to completely ignore rural/small town America

2. A potential pathway for Oregon republicans to win gubernatorial race (get to Knute margins in the burbs + 30 in the rurals  May do it )

Since there aren’t the same number of Evangelicals in the PNW, I don’t think a Republican getting the same numbers in rural areas that they do in MO/AR is really feasible. They would need to significantly reduce urban margins, and while it’s plausible that the right kind of Republican could do that in a local race under favorable conditions, the national GOP isn’t pulling that off.

Now, it’s true that Democrats shouldn’t ignore rural areas, but Republicans can’t rely solely on rural areas, either.

[At-Large Senator LouisvilleThunder]

Oregon's rurals are much less densely populated than Missouri rurals. It's much harder to develop land in Oregon for settlement due to the regulations, geography, and culture there.