Yougov - Biden +4 (user search)
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  Yougov - Biden +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Yougov - Biden +4  (Read 1380 times)
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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Posts: 22,703
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« on: November 22, 2021, 10:36:43 AM »

While the poll is (again) worthless with that amount of undecideds, a pattern is emerging. Seems this kind of resembles the situation during the 2016 election, when 2 unpopular candidates faced off each other. Name rec for sure isn't an issue here, so the large share of undecideds can only be explained by general unpopularity/dislike of both (potential) candidates.

If election seasons nears and the campaign heats up, and Biden and Trump indeed are the nominees again, the amount of undecideds will eventually shrink. At least to a degree. If neither candidate is close to 50%, especially in swing state polling, an election becomes much less predictable. A 4 pts. lead with 43-39% is much different from a 50-46% lead.
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