Prediction:
Closest States (<1%):
Colorado: .37% (Tipping point state)
Pennsylvania: .51%Wisconsin: .58%Virginia: .6%New Hampshire: .77%Closer States (1-5%):
Maine 2nd Congressional District: 1.11%Florida: 2.45%Nevada: 2.48%Michigan: 3.50%Minnesota: 4.98%Close States (6-10%):
North Carolina: 6.02%Ohio: 6.03%Maine (At. lg): 8.09%Delaware: 8.70%Oregon: 9.58%Businessman Donald Trump/Speaker Newt Gingrich (Or whoever his running mate is): 50.6%/272 E.V.
President Barack Obama/Vice President Joe Biden: 48.4%/266 E.V.
Approval ratings of each candidate at the time of the election:
Barack Obama: 43/55% (-12)Donald Trump: 42/52% (-10)Basically the 2016 election if Clinton won about half the Obama-Trump voters plus Stein voters, as well as Trump winning almost all the Romney-Clinton and around half of former Republicans who switched parties at the national level after W. Bush.