Trump 2012: An Alternative 2012 Election and Beyond (user search)
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  Trump 2012: An Alternative 2012 Election and Beyond (search mode)
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Author Topic: Trump 2012: An Alternative 2012 Election and Beyond  (Read 2058 times)
Vice President Christian Man
Christian Man
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,517
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -2.26

P P P

WWW
« on: November 15, 2021, 10:31:02 PM »
« edited: November 15, 2021, 10:44:51 PM by JD Vance for Senate »

Prediction:



Closest States (<1%):
Colorado: .37% (Tipping point state)
Pennsylvania: .51%
Wisconsin: .58%
Virginia: .6%
New Hampshire: .77%

Closer States (1-5%):
Maine 2nd Congressional District: 1.11%
Florida: 2.45%
Nevada: 2.48%
Michigan: 3.50%
Minnesota: 4.98%

Close States (6-10%):
North Carolina: 6.02%
Ohio: 6.03%
Maine (At. lg): 8.09%
Delaware: 8.70%
Oregon: 9.58%

Businessman Donald Trump/Speaker Newt Gingrich (Or whoever his running mate is): 50.6%/272 E.V.
President Barack Obama/Vice President Joe Biden: 48.4%/266 E.V.

Approval ratings of each candidate at the time of the election:
Barack Obama: 43/55% (-12)
Donald Trump: 42/52% (-10)

Basically the 2016 election if Clinton won about half the Obama-Trump voters plus Stein voters, as well as Trump winning almost all the Romney-Clinton and around half of former Republicans who switched parties at the national level after W. Bush.
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Vice President Christian Man
Christian Man
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,517
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -2.26

P P P

WWW
« Reply #1 on: February 13, 2022, 09:30:02 PM »

I was close with my original prediction. I look forward to reading what Trump's first term looks like.
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