2004 User Predictions - Discussion (user search)
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Author Topic: 2004 User Predictions - Discussion  (Read 871098 times)
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #150 on: May 31, 2004, 12:08:09 PM »

On the subject of State legislatures, has anyone else heard what the NC GOP has done to the Co-Speaker?
Ouch!


Did you hear the Governer of S.Carolina brought pigs into the state house. In honor of pork! lol
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #151 on: May 31, 2004, 01:56:16 PM »

On the subject of State legislatures, has anyone else heard what the NC GOP has done to the Co-Speaker?
Ouch!

Did you hear the Governer of S.Carolina brought pigs into the state house. In honor of pork! lol

Huh

I believe they overrode the governers veto so he brought pigs into the state capital in honor of "pork" spending.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #152 on: May 31, 2004, 06:23:08 PM »

I havent posted in the 146 other threads in this board, but for the mock election, I would just like to point out that the Natural Law Party endorsed Rep. Dennis Kuchinich for President.

I asked this before but never got a response. How will this effect the farther left Dems who would have thrown their votes to Kerry?
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #153 on: May 31, 2004, 06:57:37 PM »

I havent posted in the 146 other threads in this board, but for the mock election, I would just like to point out that the Natural Law Party endorsed Rep. Dennis Kuchinich for President.

I asked this before but never got a response. How will this effect the farther left Dems who would have thrown their votes to Kerry?
it won't.

Kucinich is very popular among some Democrats. If they really don't care for either Bush or Kerry I can see many of them voting for Kucinich. Especially in Ohio.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #154 on: May 31, 2004, 07:04:55 PM »

I havent posted in the 146 other threads in this board, but for the mock election, I would just like to point out that the Natural Law Party endorsed Rep. Dennis Kuchinich for President.

I asked this before but never got a response. How will this effect the farther left Dems who would have thrown their votes to Kerry?
it won't.

Kucinich is very popular among some Democrats. If they really don't care for either Bush or Kerry I can see many of them voting for Kucinich. Especially in Ohio.
hey may get a few green votes but most democrats don't want to lose again because of a "nader" factor.

Not everyone that votes are political junkies like us. If a Ohioan sees his hometown fellow on his ballot he would probably heavily weigh voting for him. Not everyone that votes thinks of factors and what third party candidates do. They vote for who they believe will do the best job.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #155 on: June 05, 2004, 02:30:11 PM »

Updated Prediction for you viewing pleasure/displeasure.



R-319
D-219
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #156 on: June 05, 2004, 02:42:35 PM »

Updated Prediction for you viewing pleasure/displeasure.



R-319
D-219

Does that person think that Red=Rep and Blue=Dem.

That is MY Prediction Wink And Republican IS red and Dem Blue. Always been that way. I will now stay with the traditional colors.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #157 on: June 06, 2004, 03:54:15 PM »

Here is mine. he he

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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #158 on: June 18, 2004, 10:12:55 AM »

Tweed,

Why don't you use the colors on my map.
Red=Republican Blue = Democrat. Smiley
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #159 on: June 18, 2004, 10:58:07 AM »

I don't like your color system.  The big red Bush area hurts my eyes.

Get ready it will be redder on the 3rd of November. Smiley
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #160 on: June 21, 2004, 10:32:47 AM »

That's my story and I'm sticking to it.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #161 on: June 21, 2004, 10:51:37 AM »


Wanna put money on 60% for Kerry in Vermont?

I just bet beer. Smiley
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #162 on: June 21, 2004, 10:57:32 AM »

I guess it's just about possible - assuming a very bad showing for Nader, a clear Kerry victory across the US and an overaverage VT swing.

I know virtually nothing about Vermont politics although I would just generally assume they are pretty liberal. Well, we all know what assumption is the mother of.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #163 on: June 22, 2004, 12:17:57 AM »

R - 327
D - 210*







*One Democratic DC elector will abstain out of protest.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #164 on: June 23, 2004, 08:51:34 AM »

Total-intuition map. Basically, i pictured myself as a voter in that state, going to the polling booth, and voting for the first campaign banner I saw.



Kerry-270
Bush-268

It isn't mean to be an in depth analysis. Just gut feeling.

Pretty random.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #165 on: June 26, 2004, 02:05:32 AM »

Im ot going to support John Kerry because I see a banner saying "VOTE KERRY" I would vote for Kerry because he has the best vision for the country.

Well, what exactly is his vision? Has anyone actually figured it out?
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #166 on: June 26, 2004, 10:22:24 AM »

Im not going to support John Kerry because I see a banner saying "VOTE KERRY" I would vote for Kerry because he has the best vision for the country.

Well, what exactly is his vision? Has anyone actually figured it out?

His vision is for a United States that does not render allies opinions meaningless, that does not distort the reasons why we invade another country and see our brave soldiers dying, that does not give unfair tax cuts to wealthy individuals, that provides health care for all elderly who need it- without lying about the costs, that punishes corporations from taking away American jobs for cheap ones overseas, that esnures women have the right to choose, and attempts to preserve the Environment- not destroy it.

So basically a liberal, tax hiking protectionist? Great we need one of those. Roll Eyes Yeah those "tax cuts for the wealthy" again. I didn't benefit at all from them. Roll Eyes
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #167 on: July 03, 2004, 04:14:37 PM »

Updated for your viewing pleasure/displeasure. Not sure about Washington. Still a What-If IMHO.

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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #168 on: July 03, 2004, 06:42:18 PM »


Mid to high 70's.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #169 on: July 03, 2004, 07:27:18 PM »

I've certainly got Utah as the safest Republican state. If current Green polls hold up it will be more like 60-65% Republican.

Blue States = Safe states
Red  States = Semi-Safe states

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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #170 on: July 03, 2004, 07:50:40 PM »


Yes, if their was some huge lanslide I believe all those would go to Kerry.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #171 on: July 03, 2004, 08:04:44 PM »

I think Florida will solidify for Bush by August. The state will be put in second and the dogfight will be the midwest states such as Ohio and PA. I still believe we will see a few shockers this year. I believe WA, OR, and MN will be shockers. NJ perhaps too.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #172 on: July 15, 2004, 10:22:16 AM »

Lewis this is my prediction. You will disagree with MN but Bush has been polling a lot better there then Iowa or NMexico. The map will resemble 2000 but will NOT be the same. Mark my words right now. Smiley

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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #173 on: July 16, 2004, 01:30:39 AM »


I'm not. Bush wins comfortably. Bush will be the first president since 88 to break 50%
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #174 on: July 17, 2004, 01:47:29 AM »

This just may be my ignorance, but why would Bush win Wisconsin, Ohio and PA etc. but win Iowa. Or am I missing something States.

Siege

Right now IMHO Bush is polling better in those three then in Iowa. I still believe Bush will end up sweeping every battleground in the end.
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