CO - Global Strategy Group (D): Polis +17

[neostassenite31]

Jared Polis (D-inc) - 52%
Heidi Ganahl (R) - 35%

Oct. 19-24, 2021 (800 RV)
MoE: 3.5%

https://live-gsg-new.pantheonsite.io/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Mountaineer-Q4-Topline-F10.28.21.pdf

Some fun facts about this sample:
Recalled 2020 presidential vote - Biden +12 (50%-38%)
Party ID - D+3 (29%-26%) 44% independents
Bachelor's degree or higher: 53%

[Person Man]

I suppose it’s possible

[Calthrina950]

Colorado's gubernatorial election is Safe D. We are still a year away, but if this poll holds, Polis will improve upon his 2018 margin, and potentially win by as much as Bill Ritter did in 2006.

[SnowLabrador]

Colorado's gubernatorial election is Safe D. We are still a year away, but if this poll holds, Polis will improve upon his 2018 margin, and potentially win by as much as Bill Ritter did in 2006.

Even after VA and NJ?

[MT Treasurer]

Obviously inflated, but I’ve long suspected that there’s a good chance of CO being among the five most reliably Democratic states in the union by 2030. The floor has fallen out for Republicans in CO to an extent it has in virtually no other state and where even massive (and hypothetical) Republican countertrends in some of the rural/small-town Hispanic/WWC counties in the southern part of the state would barely make a dent. While I could see some of these East Coast states like VA/NJ electing a Republican Governor every now and then, Republican victories here will probably increasingly turn into a once-in-a-lifetime thing.

[wbrocks67]

Colorado's gubernatorial election is Safe D. We are still a year away, but if this poll holds, Polis will improve upon his 2018 margin, and potentially win by as much as Bill Ritter did in 2006.

Even after VA and NJ?

VA and NJ are not the end all be all.

[SnowLabrador]

Colorado's gubernatorial election is Safe D. We are still a year away, but if this poll holds, Polis will improve upon his 2018 margin, and potentially win by as much as Bill Ritter did in 2006.

Even after VA and NJ?

VA and NJ are not the end all be all.

In an R+6 national environment, which is roughly what we're at based on VA/NJ, there's no way Colorado goes blue by double digits.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Colorado's gubernatorial election is Safe D. We are still a year away, but if this poll holds, Polis will improve upon his 2018 margin, and potentially win by as much as Bill Ritter did in 2006.

Even after VA and NJ?

VA and NJ are not the end all be all.

In an R+6 national environment, which is roughly what we're at based on VA/NJ, there's no way Colorado goes blue by double digits.

It won't be an R six Environment Biden is leading in WI

[Senator Incitatus]

Likely D; not willing to call any race safe right now.

[Roll Roons]

Likely D; not willing to call any race safe right now.

Well, I think we can call California and Hawaii safe D. Maybe New York unless BDB somehow gets the nomination.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Safe D. Could be Likely down the line if the race goes down a bad path for Ds, but rn it's Safe.